NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	1.9 [1300]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): +6.2%
Denver Nuggets	73		Comeback	1.1 [567]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -17.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	64%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	17	47%	0.02	5	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luke Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	10	42%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	89%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	4	25%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	11	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.23	0.00	-0.05	20	32%	-0.09	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	33.4	19.5	28.4	3.4	30.7	144.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.5%

CLE +3.6%

CLE +5.8%

CLE +11.0%

CLE +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	16.9	14.2	15.5	97.9	80.2	104.0
season	16.2	14.8		104.6	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	16.0	18.5	19.0	16.9
DEN	16.8	12.2	12.8	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	-4	27	16.5	18.8	-2.26	15.0	9.5	5.51
Jeff McInnis	70	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.27	26	-7	33	16.0	19.5	-3.54	13.7	15.5	-1.73
Drew Gooden	62	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.22	24	-5	29	15.8	19.1	-3.32	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Robert Traylor	53	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	3	13	16.0	18.0	-2.03	12.6	16.2	-3.68
Lucious Harris	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	13	-7	17.3	16.4	0.95	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	13	-7	18.0	16.3	1.64	17.7	12.2	5.46
Ira Newble	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	11	-3	17.1	16.8	0.33	15.4	13.6	1.77
Eric Snow	43	42	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	17	-15	17.9	16.1	1.85	13.7	14.6	-0.97
Anderson Varejao	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	25	-31	19.0	16.1	2.89	14.7	14.0	0.73
Sasha Pavlovic	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	18.4	16.8	1.61	9.6	14.6	-5.00
Luke Jackson	11	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	26	-33	20.0	16.5	3.51	9.8	14.7	-4.89

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-30	41	12.1	14.9	-2.80	18.2	16.5	1.74
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-17	15	13.4	14.4	-0.99	18.3	16.5	1.84
DerMarr Johnson	12	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-17	15	11.6	14.6	-3.00	14.6	17.3	-2.66
Greg Buckner	41	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-14	9	14.7	13.7	0.99	17.0	16.8	0.22
Nene	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-6	-7	14.0	14.3	-0.30	15.5	17.9	-2.40
Bryon Russell	31	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-7	-5	15.2	13.7	1.48	16.9	16.9	0.00
Earl Boykins	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	-6	-7	13.5	15.2	-1.76	16.8	17.1	-0.34
Carmelo Anthony	56	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.17	-16	-3	-13	14.7	13.3	1.37	17.1	16.5	0.63
Marcus Camby	59	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-7	-5	14.0	14.5	-0.53	16.9	16.9	0.04
Andre Miller	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-3	-13	14.5	12.9	1.65	16.8	17.1	-0.25
Kenyon Martin	46	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-4	-11	15.2	13.2	2.00	17.2	16.5	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
MIL 95, CHI 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
CHI 115, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%