NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	1.9 [1296]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (CLE): +6.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	76		Comeback	1.1 [447]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -6.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	6	108%	0.08	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	59%	0.04	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	5	86%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Kaun	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.12	0.00	-0.12	13	35%	-0.00	3	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	30%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Russ Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	45%	0.00	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	5	57%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	8	40%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.6	15.4	24.4	2.5	31.5	128.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.4%

CLE +0.7%

CLE +2.3%

CLE +1.4%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	14.9	107.1	78.4	105.1
season	15.8	15.7		110.3	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	17.0	17.1	11.6	14.5
MEM	18.1	14.9	14.2	12.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	54	53	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	12	6	16.2	12.5	3.63	16.4	13.1	3.27
Matthew Dellavedova	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.53	29	1	28	13.0	15.5	-2.50	14.8	14.9	-0.14
J.R. Smith	68	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	14	2	14.9	13.6	1.36	15.0	14.6	0.43
Tristan Thompson	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.32	19	11	8	13.3	15.4	-2.14	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Jared Cunningham	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.15	13	17	-4	11.8	15.9	-4.14	14.6	15.0	-0.46
Richard Jefferson	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.32	19	11	8	14.5	14.5	-0.09	14.2	15.3	-1.12
LeBron James	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	20	-10	15.6	12.8	2.76	15.2	14.2	1.00
Anderson Varejao	25	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.29	17	13	4	12.7	15.1	-2.40	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Timofey Mozgov	46	45	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	27	-24	17.2	12.2	4.93	15.9	14.0	1.97
Mo Williams	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	29	-28	17.4	12.4	4.98	15.9	14.1	1.82
James Jones	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	10.5	15.2	-4.77	12.2	15.3	-3.14
Sasha Kaun	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	11.2	15.2	-3.97	12.0	15.4	-3.40
Joe Harris	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	10.5	15.2	-4.77	12.2	15.3	-3.14

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Adams	17	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-30	30	12.1	15.5	-3.34	11.3	15.3	-4.02
Russ Smith	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-29	28	12.0	15.4	-3.40	11.2	15.2	-3.97
Beno Udrih	34	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	-18	6	13.9	15.4	-1.49	11.0	16.5	-5.57
JaMychal Green	32	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.33	-17	-13	-4	14.1	15.3	-1.17	12.1	15.7	-3.59
Jeff Green	42	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.40	-21	-9	-12	14.7	15.0	-0.24	14.5	14.5	-0.07
Courtney Lee	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.11	-12	-18	6	15.7	13.5	2.20	16.2	12.0	4.14
Tony Allen	42	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-24	18	15.3	14.6	0.68	16.2	13.2	2.96
Zach Randolph	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-23	16	15.8	13.4	2.41	16.5	11.7	4.75
Brandan Wright	37	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.37	-22	-8	-14	13.4	15.8	-2.47	12.3	16.0	-3.76
Marc Gasol	55	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-24	18	16.0	13.5	2.51	15.9	12.7	3.30
Matt Barnes	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.50	-28	-2	-26	14.7	15.0	-0.24	13.0	15.4	-2.46
Mike Conley	56	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-12	-6	15.5	14.1	1.39	16.4	12.0	4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
CLE 92, DEN 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
MIL 104, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%