NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	1.9 [1302]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +6.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	1.0 [981]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -10.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	74%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	89%	0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	66%	0.07	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	12	70%	0.02	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	80%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	4	73%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	8	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	9	60%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.02	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	15	42%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	31.8	15.7	25.9	0.8	31.2	132.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.9%

CHI +2.7%

CLE -0.7%

CHI +7.5%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.4	118.6	88.7	104.1
season	16.6	15.5		101.7	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		107.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.1	15.9	17.8	15.4	15.1
CLE	15.1	14.1	15.8	13.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	2	25	14.7	15.8	-1.09	15.8	12.5	3.30
Joakim Noah	66	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.50	30	-1	31	14.3	16.8	-2.46	15.0	13.6	1.44
Kirk Hinrich	36	37	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.33	21	8	13	12.6	16.6	-3.97	15.2	14.2	1.02
Taj Gibson	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	20	-11	16.6	14.3	2.35	13.3	15.3	-2.04
Richard Hamilton	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.28	18	11	7	14.8	15.6	-0.85	15.5	13.4	2.06
Marco Belinelli	43	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	18	-7	15.6	14.8	0.85	13.4	15.5	-2.06
Carlos Boozer	54	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	11	7	14.2	16.3	-2.02	16.1	12.7	3.38
Nate Robinson	53	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	23	-17	16.8	13.2	3.57	14.7	14.4	0.25
Nazr Mohammed	31	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	30	-31	16.8	14.3	2.46	13.6	15.0	-1.44
Jimmy Butler	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	27	-25	15.8	14.7	1.09	12.5	15.8	-3.30
Vladimir Radmanovic	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	14.4	15.2	-0.76	8.8	14.9	-6.10
Marquis Teague	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	15.6	15.1	0.54	10.9	14.9	-4.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-23	17	12.9	14.8	-1.90	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Omri Casspi	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-21	13	12.9	14.8	-1.90	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Donald Sloan	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-21	13	13.9	15.0	-1.06	16.1	14.6	1.51
Tyler Zeller	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-22	15	12.8	15.3	-2.56	15.6	15.0	0.60
Dion Waiters	50	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-20	11	15.5	13.6	1.86	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Luke Walton	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-18	7	12.7	14.8	-2.07	14.0	15.3	-1.26
Samardo Samuels	37	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-18	7	13.8	15.0	-1.29	15.7	14.8	0.82
Tristan Thompson	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-24	19	16.2	13.1	3.16	15.2	15.1	0.07
Alonzo Gee	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-16	3	15.9	13.1	2.73	14.5	15.8	-1.23
Daniel Gibson	43	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.23	-17	-12	-5	13.6	15.3	-1.71	15.4	14.9	0.53
Anderson Varejao	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-11	-7	15.4	13.4	2.00	14.9	15.4	-0.47
CJ Miles	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-18	7	13.3	15.3	-2.08	16.1	14.5	1.57
Kyrie Irving	61	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	-8	-13	15.0	13.9	1.06	14.6	16.1	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
CLE 92, DEN 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
SEA 126, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%