NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	126		Excitement	1.6 [1252]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): +7.5%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	1.0 [1207]		LVP	Mark Price (GSW): -10.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	12	78%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	10	74%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nate McMillan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	3	112%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.07	12	77%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
David Wingate	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	21%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	36%	-0.01	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Larry Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	43%	-0.03	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Roe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	45%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Melvin Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.00	3	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	69%	0.00	3	-0.01	6	100%	-0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	7	76%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	5	42%	-0.01	3	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	9	40%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	2	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	0.00	-0.06	7	28%	-0.05	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	0.7	29.0	14.8	25.2	1.7	27.4	123.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +27.1%

SEA +5.1%

SEA +6.6%

SEA +11.1%

SEA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	13.6	15.8	15.6	129.9	89.9	104.4
season	14.9	15.0		108.9	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.2		109.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.5	14.3	14.8	14.0	13.6
GSW	15.6	15.1	17.2	15.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.70	40	-3	43	13.2	14.3	-1.11	15.3	16.6	-1.25
Shawn Kemp	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	18	1	14.0	12.7	1.25	16.0	15.2	0.84
Sam Perkins	27	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.45	27	10	17	12.8	13.9	-1.14	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Nate McMillan	30	32	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.46	27	10	17	13.1	13.8	-0.77	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Hersey Hawkins	53	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.32	21	16	5	14.4	12.6	1.76	15.5	16.1	-0.67
David Wingate	25	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	26	-15	12.8	13.9	-1.08	17.3	15.3	2.02
Larry Stewart	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.48	22	15	7	13.8	13.3	0.57	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Jim McIlvaine	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.25	14	23	-9	13.8	13.4	0.47	16.2	15.4	0.77
Terry Cummings	31	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	33	-29	14.3	13.3	1.07	17.1	15.1	1.98
Craig Ehlo	23	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	36	-35	13.0	13.8	-0.78	16.0	15.7	0.31
Eric Snow	32	32	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	34	-31	12.8	14.0	-1.17	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Greg Graham	28	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	41	-45	13.8	13.5	0.26	14.8	16.2	-1.33

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Roe	20	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-31	25	14.8	16.0	-1.21	10.8	14.3	-3.43
Scott Burrell	29	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.21	-8	-29	21	16.1	15.6	0.43	10.3	14.9	-4.66
Ray Owes	29	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.28	-11	-26	15	12.9	17.0	-4.11	12.8	13.9	-1.13
Andrew DeClercq	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-38	39	17.5	15.2	2.34	15.2	13.1	2.12
Todd Fuller	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.29	-14	-23	9	15.0	16.0	-0.96	11.4	14.3	-2.84
Joe Smith	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-27	17	17.7	13.6	4.09	15.1	11.7	3.41
Mark Price	58	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.55	-29	-8	-21	15.8	15.7	0.10	13.8	13.3	0.57
Donyell Marshall	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.36	-23	-14	-9	16.8	15.2	1.63	12.6	14.2	-1.56
Felton Spencer	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.57	-31	-6	-25	15.2	16.5	-1.35	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Chris Mullin	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-20	3	15.3	16.4	-1.11	14.5	12.5	1.95
Latrell Sprewell	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.38	-29	-8	-21	15.8	15.8	-0.03	14.6	10.2	4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
CLE 92, DEN 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
CHI 115, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%