NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	120		Excitement	1.9 [1298]		MVP	Chris Paul (HOU): +10.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	1.0 [1014]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (CLE): -6.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	0.00	0.08	14	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.17	0.00	0.13	13	72%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
James Harden	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.11	16	43%	0.05	4	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Nene	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	82%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	15	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	30%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	64%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	38%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	13	43%	-0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.3	23.6	14.5	28.6	2.8	25.2	123.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.3%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	13.5	14.7	118.8	86.3	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		112.8	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	13.0	15.3	16.1	14.9
CLE	13.6	15.2	13.5	11.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	56	57	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.83	47	-15	62	13.5	16.7	-3.13	15.9	10.3	5.66
Ryan Anderson	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.69	39	-7	46	14.8	15.2	-0.39	13.4	13.6	-0.14
PJ Tucker	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	18	-4	15.1	14.4	0.71	12.8	15.1	-2.26
Clint Capela	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	20	-8	14.8	15.1	-0.33	13.2	13.7	-0.53
Gerald Green	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	31	-30	14.6	15.6	-0.96	11.5	17.4	-5.99
Nene	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.39	21	11	10	14.9	14.9	0.02	14.5	12.9	1.66
James Harden	64	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	21	-10	15.7	13.7	1.98	13.6	13.2	0.34
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.29	17	15	2	15.6	14.0	1.59	14.4	12.0	2.47
Markel Brown	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	15.6	14.8	0.79	11.3	13.7	-2.40
Tarik Black	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	15.6	14.8	0.79	11.3	13.7	-2.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	15	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-35	38	10.4	14.0	-3.58	16.1	14.7	1.41
Jose Calderon	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-32	32	11.4	13.6	-2.25	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Channing Frye	39	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.13	-7	-25	18	11.6	14.6	-2.93	15.4	14.7	0.70
Derrick Rose	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	-18	4	12.8	14.0	-1.25	14.5	15.3	-0.86
JR Smith	57	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-17	2	14.3	12.4	1.84	15.2	14.5	0.72
Jeff Green	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.28	-18	-14	-4	13.4	13.5	-0.09	15.4	14.6	0.81
Tristan Thompson	53	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	-18	4	14.2	12.7	1.46	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Jae Crowder	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	-16	0	14.5	12.5	2.04	15.2	14.6	0.61
Kyle Korver	30	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.33	-20	-12	-8	13.4	13.5	-0.03	13.8	15.4	-1.62
LeBron James	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.20	-17	-15	-2	14.2	12.2	1.98	15.2	14.4	0.82
Dwyane Wade	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.34	-22	-10	-12	13.7	13.3	0.39	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Isaiah Thomas	59	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	-12	-8	13.0	14.0	-0.99	14.5	15.5	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, GSW 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
CHI 113, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
SAC 124, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%