NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	128		Excitement	3.2 [1176]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (PHX): +16.6%
Boston Celtics	119		Comeback	1.1 [583]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -7.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.20	0.00	0.03	12	96%	0.18	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	23	68%	0.11	1	0.00	16	87%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	7	121%	0.11	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	15	52%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	16	44%	-0.01	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	12	65%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	18	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	0.11	22	68%	0.03	6	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.2	16.5	27.7	1.8	29.2	126.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.5%

PHX +3.7%

PHX +8.2%

PHX +1.1%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	13.2	15.5	121.9	113.3	104.0
season	13.5	14.4		112.9	104.7
opponent	16.0	16.0		104.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.7	12.3	16.1	17.0	14.2
BOS	15.4	13.4	11.0	13.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	93	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-4	17	14.2	14.2	0.05	13.2	13.1	0.16
Shawn Marion	95	95	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	14.0	16.6	-2.64	13.0	15.4	-2.41
Jim Jackson	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	13.9	15.1	-1.19	13.5	12.2	1.36
Steve Nash	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	1	7	14.1	14.6	-0.49	13.6	12.3	1.27
Amar'e Stoudemire	88	88	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	8	-7	14.3	13.5	0.81	13.2	13.2	-0.02
Joe Johnson	69	70	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	9	-9	15.0	12.6	2.39	13.0	13.6	-0.61
Steven Hunter	22	22	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	5	-1	13.6	14.4	-0.73	12.5	13.4	-0.97

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-15	21	12.6	13.3	-0.65	18.2	13.7	4.44
Raef LaFrentz	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-1	-7	15.0	12.7	2.34	12.7	14.7	-2.00
Mark Blount	49	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	13.3	13.1	0.20	12.4	15.8	-3.42
Walter McCarty	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.11	-3	-6	3	12.9	13.4	-0.55	15.1	13.7	1.42
Marcus Banks	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	1	-11	12.5	13.5	-0.93	14.4	14.1	0.23
Tony Allen	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-13	17	13.3	13.1	0.15	14.8	13.2	1.63
Jiri Welsch	44	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	12.9	13.4	-0.53	14.8	13.7	1.10
Gary Payton	66	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	13.7	12.5	1.16	13.3	15.6	-2.29
Kendrick Perkins	40	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	13.1	13.3	-0.23	14.5	14.1	0.41
Paul Pierce	82	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	13.4	12.7	0.73	14.0	15.0	-0.97
Ricky Davis	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	4	-17	13.1	13.6	-0.54	14.5	13.7	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 124, VAN 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DAL 110, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
MIL 118, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.0%