NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	118		Excitement	2.1 [1275]		MVP	Tony Snell (MIL): +9.9%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	1.0 [537]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -4.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.21	0.00	0.12	14	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	7	100%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	87%	0.08	4	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	13	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	5	80%	0.07	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Thon Maker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	0.00	0.12	15	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.16	0.00	0.15	19	63%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.07	7	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	26%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	26.6	14.8	25.2	2.4	30.6	127.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +58.2%

CHA -6.3%

MIL +3.4%

CHA -5.4%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	14.8	128.3	116.1	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		107.4	107.9
opponent	14.8	15.3		107.9	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.5	16.2	16.8	16.3	15.7
CHA	15.8	16.5	15.2	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	65	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.29	29	-19	48	15.6	15.8	-0.20	16.2	13.6	2.58
Tony Snell	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	-2	14	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.3	15.8	-0.57
Greg Monroe	47	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	2	6	15.7	15.6	0.10	15.9	15.0	0.94
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	9	-8	15.8	15.3	0.47	15.2	16.6	-1.42
Malcolm Brogdon	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-2	14	15.7	15.7	-0.03	15.8	15.0	0.77
Matthew Dellavedova	36	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	12	-14	15.7	15.7	0.03	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Jason Terry	45	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.36	-7	17	-24	15.7	15.7	-0.01	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Thon Maker	23	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	2	6	14.6	16.0	-1.42	16.2	15.2	1.01
Mirza Teletovic	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	15	-20	15.5	15.7	-0.22	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Spencer Hawes	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	16	-22	16.7	15.4	1.32	13.6	16.0	-2.44

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-19	28	14.7	15.6	-0.93	16.3	15.5	0.76
Briante Weber	14	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-1	-8	15.4	15.5	-0.12	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Marco Belinelli	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-18	26	15.5	15.5	0.01	15.8	15.5	0.26
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-1	-8	15.7	15.3	0.42	15.1	16.2	-1.03
Jeremy Lamb	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.1	15.9	-0.74	16.0	15.3	0.79
Nicolas Batum	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-3	-4	15.3	15.7	-0.42	16.0	15.1	0.90
Cody Zeller	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	15.3	15.7	-0.45	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Frank Kaminsky	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-9	8	15.4	15.5	-0.15	15.7	15.6	0.15
Kemba Walker	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	0	-10	15.7	15.0	0.69	15.6	15.8	-0.14
Marvin Williams	63	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	8	-26	15.9	14.5	1.47	15.7	15.6	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, PHX 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
HOU 92, CHA 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SAS 121, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%