NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	109		Excitement	4.1 [1022]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +12.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	1.1 [971]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -7.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	13	71%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	9	85%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.02	-0.06	19	50%	0.12	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	7	78%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	7	31%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	13	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	9	73%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Luis Montero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	25	38%	0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	0.3	29.1	15.3	25.8	1.8	30.5	128.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.8%

LAC +10.0%

POR -9.6%

LAC +9.7%

LAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	14.9	119.8	108.9	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		106.6	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.9		106.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.8	17.1	19.5	17.6	16.6
POR	16.7	18.0	14.1	12.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-5	21	16.3	17.6	-1.27	15.3	14.8	0.57
Chris Paul	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-4	19	16.7	16.5	0.21	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Paul Pierce	48	47	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-3	17	15.7	17.6	-1.83	15.1	15.3	-0.20
JJ Redick	55	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	3	5	16.8	16.3	0.47	15.4	14.9	0.41
Austin Rivers	49	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	17.1	16.1	0.97	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Jamal Crawford	42	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	6	-1	16.3	16.9	-0.61	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Luc Mbah a Moute	36	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	7	-3	16.1	16.9	-0.83	16.6	14.3	2.24
Wesley Johnson	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	14	-17	17.6	15.7	1.83	15.3	15.1	0.20
Pablo Prigioni	24	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	15	-19	16.5	16.7	-0.21	15.2	15.2	0.01
Cole Aldrich	23	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	16	-21	17.6	16.3	1.27	14.8	15.3	-0.57

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-16	21	15.0	15.3	-0.31	16.9	16.4	0.52
Luis Montero	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-7	3	13.8	15.3	-1.48	15.6	16.7	-1.07
Noah Vonleh	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-10	9	17.1	14.3	2.82	17.2	16.4	0.81
Maurice Harkless	39	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-11	11	14.3	15.9	-1.67	18.0	15.5	2.43
Tim Frazier	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-3	-5	19.5	14.5	5.07	17.8	16.4	1.35
Meyers Leonard	42	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-10	9	14.2	16.0	-1.80	15.9	17.3	-1.46
Ed Davis	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-13	15	14.1	16.3	-2.19	16.7	16.5	0.25
Mason Plumlee	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	2	-15	15.9	14.4	1.50	16.5	16.7	-0.17
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	0	-11	16.2	14.0	2.16	17.1	16.1	0.97
Damian Lillard	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	14.7	22.2	-7.46	16.3	20.9	-4.60
Allen Crabbe	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	4	-19	15.0	15.7	-0.64	15.8	18.7	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 120, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	96.4%
CLE 104, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 108, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%