inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 108 Excitement3.1 [1151] MVPTyson Chandler (DAL): +13.9%
Orlando Magic 93 Comeback1.1 [1193] LVPElfrid Payton (ORL): -6.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyson Chandler0.140,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.170.020.051277%0.1400.002100%0.00
Richard Jefferson0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.000.045100%0.091-0.01475%-0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.01-0.03762%0.082-0.02250%-0.01
Monta Ellis0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.022060%0.053-0.022100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01546%0.0200.00367%0.00
Devin Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01867%0.052-0.04250%-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02765%0.053-0.04367%0.01
Greg Smith0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Charlie Villanueva-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.03637%-0.0500.0040%-0.05

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.10-0.000.071363%0.0300.001100%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.03-0.011242%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.021256%-0.002-0.00367%-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.10-0.040.101068%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.04836%-0.012-0.02667%-0.01
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01250%-0.031-0.01683%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.020.05855%-0.041-0.01475%-0.01
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02560%0.045-0.1000%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.00-0.04629%-0.033-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.828.015.828.22.533.5135.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +51.5%
ORL -1.8%
ORL -4.3%
DAL +5.1%
ORL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALORLNBADALORLNBA
this game16.614.815.1117.4101.1104.2
season14.614.9107.6100.4
opponent15.315.0105.9105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.916.517.217.816.6
ORL15.114.812.816.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris59590.56-0.060.63-0.3832-174916.317.0-0.7414.315.5-1.24
Richard Jefferson55550.51-0.010.52-0.3128-134117.215.61.6113.916.0-2.05
Monta Ellis70710.420.080.34-0.0516-11716.915.61.2714.515.8-1.31
Tyson Chandler60600.340.160.18-0.1617-21916.516.6-0.0614.116.0-1.92
Al-Farouq Aminu50500.190.31-0.130.10312-916.716.40.3615.014.50.55
Dirk Nowitzki53510.180.32-0.130.27-318-2117.215.71.4115.913.42.50
Greg Smith21220.160.34-0.180.07312-916.316.6-0.3516.014.41.58
Charlie Villanueva37380.120.38-0.260.21-318-2114.717.8-3.1014.514.9-0.47
Jose Juan Barea35350.030.47-0.440.32-1025-3515.417.2-1.8215.614.21.42
Rajon Rondo330.020.48-0.46-0.01114-1325.016.38.7312.314.8-2.50
Raymond Felton1716-0.040.54-0.570.23-924-3317.116.40.6216.214.41.82

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon2627-0.04-0.460.42-0.226-212716.014.21.8016.716.50.16
Willie Green5152-0.10-0.400.30-0.286-212715.214.20.9616.816.20.63
Dewayne Dedmon1012-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-10514.214.8-0.6214.216.9-2.75
Maurice Harkless4546-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-141315.414.11.2715.717.4-1.63
Tobias Harris5960-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-8113.017.8-4.7817.514.72.77
Aaron Gordon5856-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-10515.413.71.6617.115.71.32
Channing Frye3838-0.32-0.18-0.130.09-14-1-1317.013.23.8315.417.4-1.98
Nikola Vucevic6159-0.35-0.15-0.210.03-13-2-1114.215.7-1.5016.616.50.11
Elfrid Payton4140-0.40-0.10-0.300.22-216-2714.215.2-0.9616.216.8-0.63
Evan Fournier7170-0.48-0.02-0.450.14-216-2714.117.0-2.8516.815.71.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 122, MIL 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,096.9%
SAS 120, ATL 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.03,0,0,096.4%
GSW 128, PHI 1110.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,096.3%