NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	128		Excitement	3.2 [1107]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): +12.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	1.0 [620]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -9.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.03	0.05	27	66%	0.16	3	-0.04	4	100%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.01	10	83%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mark Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	19	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Todd Fuller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	70%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	17	76%	0.09	1	-0.01	11	73%	-0.01
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	19	48%	-0.02	4	-0.06	12	83%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	13	35%	-0.08	2	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	1.6	25.2	14.7	28.1	2.4	31.6	124.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.6%

PHI -2.5%

GSW +6.5%

PHI -1.6%

GSW +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	15.6	124.3	108.8	104.4
season	15.0	14.7		104.4	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.4		108.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.5	14.3	14.7	16.2	14.2
PHI	17.3	13.4	12.4	12.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	103	102	0.51	0.00	0.51	0.01	17	0	17	14.2	0.0	14.18	13.9	0.0	13.91
Joe Smith	97	95	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	5	7	14.2	13.7	0.55	14.0	12.7	1.29
Chris Mullin	78	76	0.36	0.15	0.21	-0.05	14	3	11	13.8	15.3	-1.45	14.1	13.5	0.60
B.J. Armstrong	52	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	4	9	14.3	14.1	0.25	15.9	11.7	4.12
Todd Fuller	23	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	7	3	12.2	14.7	-2.53	18.2	12.6	5.56
Donald Royal	45	44	0.20	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	9	-1	15.4	13.3	2.08	13.0	14.6	-1.56
Donyell Marshall	39	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	17	-17	15.2	13.5	1.68	12.4	14.9	-2.49
Mark Price	51	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.04	4	13	-9	14.1	14.3	-0.25	11.7	15.9	-4.12
Andrew DeClercq	27	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	10	-3	13.3	14.5	-1.20	13.1	14.2	-1.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Caldwell	32	33	0.05	-0.56	0.61	-0.24	10	-27	37	11.1	15.2	-4.06	15.8	13.4	2.45
Lucious Harris	11	12	-0.11	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-11	5	12.6	14.1	-1.43	12.8	14.4	-1.53
Mark Bradtke	17	19	-0.13	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-13	9	12.9	14.1	-1.16	13.2	14.4	-1.26
Doug Overton	21	21	-0.15	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-13	9	14.0	13.9	0.05	14.0	14.2	-0.23
Don MacLean	57	58	-0.24	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-8	-1	12.1	16.2	-4.13	14.6	13.7	0.88
Michael Cage	37	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-1	-15	17.2	12.0	5.19	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Allen Iverson	81	82	-0.36	-0.15	-0.21	0.02	-13	-4	-9	13.9	14.0	-0.05	14.2	14.0	0.23
Mark Davis	78	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-10	3	14.4	12.3	2.06	13.9	15.0	-1.14
Jerry Stackhouse	91	91	-0.40	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-6	-5	14.1	12.6	1.43	14.4	12.8	1.53
Clar. Weatherspoon	85	85	-0.49	-0.02	-0.47	0.25	-25	8	-33	14.5	11.0	3.49	14.0	14.9	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 114, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DAL 93, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	96.7%
MIL 105, IND 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%