NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	122		Excitement	3.0 [1186]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +13.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	114		Comeback	1.1 [519]		LVP	Mirza Teletovic (MIL): -5.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.26	0.00	0.12	11	96%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.10	4	-0.02	9	89%	-0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	65%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	12	50%	0.09	3	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	3	69%	0.05	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	58%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	11	78%	0.11	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	9	71%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.15	-0.01	0.14	20	67%	0.06	5	-0.06	21	86%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	32.4	16.4	28.2	2.4	44.6	152.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.8%

MIL -1.5%

LAL +3.6%

LAL +10.5%

LAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	12.7	14.8	119.6	111.8	107.7
season	14.5	14.9		104.8	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.4		107.8	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	15.1	14.8	19.1	15.5
MIL	13.7	13.2	12.9	10.9	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	52	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	16.0	15.0	0.98	12.9	12.6	0.29
Nick Young	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-5	18	15.9	15.0	0.96	12.9	12.5	0.37
D'Angelo Russell	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-2	12	15.7	15.3	0.47	12.6	12.8	-0.24
Tarik Black	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-4	16	15.3	15.7	-0.38	13.2	12.4	0.80
Brandon Ingram	40	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	-7	22	16.6	14.8	1.86	13.4	12.2	1.17
Larry Nance Jr.	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	12	-16	15.7	15.3	0.38	12.4	13.2	-0.80
Ivica Zubac	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	8	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.49	13.1	12.4	0.70
Jordan Clarkson	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	10	-12	15.3	15.7	-0.47	12.8	12.6	0.24
Luol Deng	65	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.49	-12	20	-32	15.0	16.4	-1.31	12.0	13.9	-1.87
Lou Williams	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	7	-6	14.4	16.4	-2.03	12.3	13.0	-0.71

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.35	11	-19	30	12.4	12.9	-0.44	16.4	15.0	1.45
Greg Monroe	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.41	11	-19	30	13.6	12.2	1.41	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Malcolm Brogdon	59	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-19	30	12.1	13.6	-1.54	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Jason Terry	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-7	6	12.8	12.7	0.15	15.8	15.4	0.49
Thon Maker	35	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-1	-6	12.1	13.0	-0.87	17.1	14.6	2.50
Michael Beasley	51	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-8	8	12.8	12.7	0.10	15.6	15.4	0.16
Khris Middleton	42	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-5	2	12.9	12.6	0.24	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Matthew Dellavedova	42	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	7	-22	13.0	12.5	0.52	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Tony Snell	47	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	9	-26	13.1	12.4	0.65	15.5	15.5	-0.06
John Henson	35	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.25	-22	14	-36	12.8	12.7	0.13	14.6	16.0	-1.35
Giannis Antetokounmpo	86	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	0	-8	12.6	13.3	-0.71	15.9	13.4	2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 113, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DAL 108, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	96.9%
WAS 112, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%