NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	116		Excitement	5.1 [825]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +16.8%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	1.2 [834]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -23.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.05	-0.06	16	65%	0.20	4	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Gary Trent Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	16	65%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	71%	0.11	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Khem Birch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	9	60%	0.00	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Dalano Banton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
OG Anunoby	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	0.00	0.06	18	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	19	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	17	61%	0.06	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	17	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.22	-0.05	-0.03	19	35%	-0.09	7	-0.15	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.0	24.0	14.8	23.5	2.4	34.5	128.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.9%

CHA -3.4%

TOR +14.5%

CHA -2.6%

TOR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	13.4	14.5	113.7	101.0	110.8
season	14.9	14.0		111.3	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.8	14.7	16.6	16.2	15.1
CHA	16.7	11.9	11.6	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	38	36	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.08	23	-8	31	15.1	15.1	0.02	15.3	12.4	2.97
OG Anunoby	80	79	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-1	17	15.1	15.0	0.15	13.5	13.3	0.18
Scottie Barnes	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	8	-1	14.9	15.4	-0.54	12.8	14.7	-1.90
Pascal Siakam	88	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	6	3	15.8	10.4	5.46	13.5	12.6	0.96
Dalano Banton	24	24	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	2	11	14.2	15.3	-1.13	14.6	13.1	1.57
Fred VanVleet	78	76	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	13	-11	15.3	14.2	1.13	13.1	14.6	-1.57
Khem Birch	16	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	13	-11	17.2	14.7	2.59	12.5	13.6	-1.09
Gary Trent Jr.	73	71	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	18	-21	15.3	14.6	0.72	13.1	14.2	-1.09
Precious Achiuwa	31	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	12	-9	15.3	15.0	0.36	14.6	13.0	1.58
Svi Mykhailiuk	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	5.5	15.5	-9.96	10.5	13.6	-3.05
Yuta Watanabe	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	5.5	15.5	-9.96	10.5	13.6	-3.05
Malachi Flynn	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	5.5	15.5	-9.96	10.5	13.6	-3.05

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-9	3	19.5	12.5	7.02	13.0	15.4	-2.37
Terry Rozier	87	88	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-10	5	12.9	17.1	-4.19	15.2	14.3	0.91
Miles Bridges	90	92	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-9	3	12.8	19.1	-6.30	14.9	16.4	-1.48
P.J. Washington	66	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-10	5	12.7	14.9	-2.16	15.2	14.8	0.41
Mason Plumlee	55	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-4	-7	14.9	11.7	3.21	15.7	14.2	1.47
Ish Smith	16	16	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-1	-13	17.6	12.6	4.99	14.1	15.3	-1.19
LaMelo Ball	92	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-5	-5	13.3	14.6	-1.30	15.3	13.0	2.27
Kelly Oubre Jr.	81	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	3	-21	12.6	16.8	-4.15	14.8	16.1	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.16,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.1,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.36,0.36,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	93.9%
MIA 94, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%
LAC 94, GSW 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.02,0	93.5%