NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	5.4 [773]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +14.5%
Golden State Warriors	86		Comeback	1.0 [615]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): -26.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.02	11	81%	0.18	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	16	63%	0.14	7	-0.17	9	78%	0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	70%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Elton Brand	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.19	0.05	-0.06	18	32%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	20%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	15	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.10
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	12	23%	-0.19	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	33.7	16.5	27.2	2.5	39.3	146.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +63.6%

LAC +8.9%

GSW -6.5%

GSW -17.7%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	15.5	101.1	87.8	104.0
season	16.0	15.0		103.0	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.3	15.0	15.5	16.5	14.8
GSW	16.3	15.7	17.3	12.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	73	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	14.8	14.5	0.30	15.3	15.4	-0.04
Quinton Ross	34	36	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	-4	16	15.1	14.6	0.43	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Chris Wilcox	53	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	1	6	15.2	14.3	0.89	16.1	14.2	1.87
Marko Jaric	61	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-2	12	13.3	17.6	-4.23	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Corey Maggette	78	82	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	5	-2	15.5	10.9	4.67	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Bobby Simmons	72	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	4	0	13.7	18.5	-4.83	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Shaun Livingston	37	39	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	11	-14	16.7	13.5	3.18	16.2	14.8	1.45
Zeljko Rebraca	16	17	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	8	-8	16.9	14.4	2.52	16.2	15.2	1.06
Mikki Moore	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	11	-14	15.5	14.3	1.12	15.8	15.1	0.75
Rick Brunson	4	3	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	7	-6	1.0	15.4	-14.40	4.3	15.7	-11.37

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	62	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.33	9	-17	26	14.4	17.0	-2.55	15.3	13.9	1.33
Adonal Foyle	66	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-13	18	14.9	16.3	-1.37	15.7	12.9	2.87
Troy Murphy	54	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	16.4	14.1	2.26	14.0	15.7	-1.65
Mike Dunleavy	73	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-9	10	15.0	16.5	-1.51	14.4	15.8	-1.36
Dale Davis	22	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	16.6	15.0	1.59	15.0	14.7	0.28
Clifford Robinson	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	0	-8	18.4	14.3	4.08	14.8	14.8	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	51	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-7	6	14.0	16.9	-2.91	14.8	14.8	0.00
Jason Richardson	61	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	16.1	14.1	1.96	15.1	14.2	0.92
Eduardo Najera	39	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	0	-8	13.7	16.5	-2.81	14.9	14.7	0.27
Derek Fisher	37	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	10	-28	16.7	14.5	2.16	13.2	15.8	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%
NJN 103, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.15,0	93.6%
DET 116, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.16,0.1,0,0	93.6%