NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	5.1 [780]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +18.9%
Indiana Pacers	82		Comeback	1.0 [925]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -21.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.10	-0.04	16	63%	0.22	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	21	49%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	18%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	15	66%	0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	14	62%	0.08	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	10	54%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.03	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	13	32%	-0.16	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	0.01	16	24%	-0.16	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.5	29.5	20.7	27.0	2.8	36.0	141.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.3%

POR +6.4%

IND -18.1%

POR +19.6%

POR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	15.6	15.5	104.5	92.1	100.9
season	15.8	15.9		103.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		99.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	17.4	19.4	15.2	17.0
IND	15.7	16.1	16.6	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	41	43	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-6	22	15.2	18.5	-3.22	14.3	16.8	-2.44
Bonzi Wells	49	51	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-3	16	16.2	17.9	-1.72	16.5	14.3	2.17
Rasheed Wallace	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	2	6	16.9	17.3	-0.36	15.6	15.3	0.30
Steven Smith	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	6	-2	16.6	17.8	-1.19	14.6	18.1	-3.47
Dale Davis	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	3	4	17.6	14.6	3.04	16.5	12.5	3.91
Shawn Kemp	27	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	2	6	17.2	16.9	0.37	16.2	15.3	0.86
Stacey Augmon	62	61	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	7	-4	17.8	15.0	2.84	16.0	14.7	1.32
Damon Stoudamire	55	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	19	-28	17.5	16.1	1.40	14.9	16.7	-1.77

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	31	32	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-16	22	16.7	15.0	1.78	18.1	16.3	1.82
Derrick McKey	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	1	-12	19.7	14.9	4.81	15.8	17.2	-1.40
Al Harrington	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-5	0	14.3	16.8	-2.44	16.1	17.8	-1.62
Austin Croshere	54	53	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-13	16	15.0	16.4	-1.39	17.7	15.9	1.79
Jalen Rose	58	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-6	2	15.1	16.6	-1.53	16.9	17.1	-0.20
Jermaine O'Neal	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-8	6	16.6	13.2	3.32	17.6	15.4	2.13
Sam Perkins	24	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	1	-12	17.4	14.9	2.51	17.2	16.9	0.28
Reggie Miller	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	15.7	14.3	1.41	16.9	18.3	-1.47
Travis Best	54	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	1	-12	13.9	18.2	-4.36	16.2	18.1	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, HOU 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0	93.5%
MIN 100, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%
BOS 102, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.3%