NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	7.8 [308]		MVP	Luke Kennard (MEM): +22.7%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	1.7 [200]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (BKN): -20.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.01	11	100%	0.33	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Lamar Stevens	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.02	12	48%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Trey Jemison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	3	90%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Santi Aldama	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jake LaRavia	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	44%	0.02	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.01
Matt Hurt	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	7	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.09	-0.02	10	65%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	10	75%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	125%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	-0.06	13	45%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Cameron Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.10	0.04	14	38%	-0.12	3	-0.09	9	44%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	31.7	14.8	27.3	2.3	43.4	146.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -5.8%

MEM +21.8%

MEM +38.9%

BKN -9.8%

MEM +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BKN	NBA	MEM	BKN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	14.5	115.2	112.1	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		106.3	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.7	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	15.0	16.8	15.8	15.8
BKN	16.0	18.5	13.8	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	59	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-11	26	14.8	17.5	-2.75	15.7	15.8	-0.05
Luke Kennard	54	52	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	1	2	15.5	16.1	-0.56	15.3	16.2	-0.88
Jake LaRavia	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-2	8	15.7	15.8	-0.17	16.4	14.8	1.65
Lamar Stevens	46	46	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	1	2	14.8	16.7	-1.98	16.8	14.7	2.09
Trey Jemison	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	-3	10	15.7	15.7	-0.00	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Vince Williams Jr.	65	64	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	8	-12	16.4	14.3	2.11	15.2	17.0	-1.87
Santi Aldama	62	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	10	-16	16.0	15.3	0.62	15.0	17.2	-2.23
Matt Hurt	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	2	0	16.6	15.1	1.46	15.9	15.6	0.30
GG Jackson	45	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	10	-16	16.5	15.0	1.49	16.0	15.5	0.52

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonnie Walker IV	27	28	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-12	20	13.2	16.8	-3.56	15.1	16.0	-0.98
Jalen Wilson	21	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-8	12	16.0	15.7	0.30	16.6	15.5	1.14
Day'Ron Sharpe	28	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	2	-8	14.4	16.3	-1.87	16.7	15.4	1.26
Dennis Smith Jr.	31	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	4	-12	16.5	15.3	1.15	15.5	15.9	-0.47
Nic Claxton	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	16.6	14.0	2.52	16.3	14.5	1.81
Dorian Finney-Smith	73	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	3	-10	15.9	14.9	1.04	15.1	18.1	-3.04
Cameron Johnson	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.55	3	-7	10	15.6	16.2	-0.60	16.3	14.1	2.12
Mikal Bridges	75	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	3	-10	16.0	14.6	1.34	15.0	19.2	-4.20
Dennis Schroder	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	15.8	15.6	0.14	16.1	14.8	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.57,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.07,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.3%
BOS 102, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	92.3%