inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 107 Excitement6.5 [499] MVPVince Carter (TOR): +31.4%
Atlanta Hawks 98 Comeback1.7 [389] LVPJason Terry (ATL): -22.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.310,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.270.080.032477%0.341-0.02875%-0.02
Voshon Lenard0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.160.120.060.021766%0.181-0.021100%0.00
Alvin Williams0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.02-0.051048%0.0800.0010%-0.02
Jelani McCoy0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Jefferies0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maceo Baston0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.03-0.011246%0.032-0.04475%0.01
Rafer Alston-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.01756%-0.001-0.03250%-0.02
Michael Bradley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.0000%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.00925%-0.112-0.04250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Theo Ratliff0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.020.021562%0.0900.002100%0.01
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.00482%0.0800.00333%-0.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.050.050.02-0.02-0.051854%0.081-0.03580%0.01
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.01362%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Brandon Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Dickau0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00430%-0.0600.00250%-0.03
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.06-0.032155%0.044-0.111191%0.05
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.0000%-0.073-0.0620%-0.07
Jason Terry0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.14-0.090.001527%-0.162-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.726.415.426.31.831.6127.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +44.3%
ATL -10.4%
TOR +6.0%
TOR +7.1%
TOR +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game16.314.815.5115.1106.5101.6
season16.215.198.899.5
opponent15.715.3103.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.515.216.418.316.3
ATL13.915.518.012.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter67680.53-0.030.560.1214-51916.316.3-0.0315.213.51.71
Voshon Lenard57570.490.010.480.1711-21316.615.80.8414.215.8-1.56
Antonio Davis77760.450.050.410.1990917.112.44.7714.516.2-1.67
Michael Bradley28270.320.180.140.1463317.116.01.0714.415.0-0.61
Alvin Williams65660.320.180.130.1463316.615.70.8714.715.2-0.49
Rafer Alston28260.180.32-0.130.1036-315.716.6-0.8715.214.70.49
Jerome Williams65650.180.32-0.140.0936-316.017.1-1.0715.014.40.61
Jelani McCoy12130.050.45-0.41-0.0127-513.216.8-3.5318.214.23.99
Maceo Baston430.000.50-0.500.06-211-139.716.6-6.877.315.1-7.72
Chris Jefferies430.000.50-0.500.06-211-139.716.6-6.877.315.1-7.72
Morris Peterson5856-0.020.52-0.540.13-514-1916.516.10.3815.314.11.18

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Williams34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-11137.315.1-7.729.716.6-6.87
Jermaine Jackson34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-11137.315.1-7.729.716.6-6.87
Dan Dickau98-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-6314.614.8-0.2813.616.6-2.95
Theo Ratliff6867-0.16-0.340.17-0.160-9914.615.4-0.8315.817.8-2.01
Glenn Robinson8080-0.18-0.320.13-0.180-9914.516.6-2.0515.521.2-5.71
Alan Henderson3234-0.18-0.320.13-0.07-4-5115.414.50.9717.215.81.44
Dion Glover5453-0.20-0.300.09-0.15-2-7514.415.3-0.9217.115.31.71
Ira Newble3536-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-90-916.014.11.9816.016.5-0.57
Darvin Ham2122-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-101-1114.514.9-0.4317.016.10.89
Jason Terry8081-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.20-8-1-715.112.72.3616.912.34.58
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7576-0.610.11-0.71-0.22-134-1715.113.51.6417.113.13.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 98, PHI 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.1,093.2%
DAL 108, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.63,0.42,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.04,0.02,0,093.0%
CHH 95, TOR 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,092.9%