NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	7.0 [393]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (POR): +27.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.6 [640]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -11.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.28	0.10	0.19	0.01	12	64%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.24	0.14	0.12	0.02	13	68%	0.26	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Andre Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	17	59%	0.26	4	-0.15	7	100%	0.07
Brandon Roy	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	11%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.00	8	76%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	14	66%	0.25	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	67%	0.11	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	5	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	12	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	41%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	26.4	15.7	25.3	2.4	37.2	135.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.2%

POR +16.5%

PHI -12.5%

POR +8.8%

POR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	18.1	16.0	15.3	115.3	107.1	106.0
season	16.7	15.1		108.8	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.6		108.4	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	22.0	15.7	16.2	19.0	18.1
PHI	15.1	16.3	16.5	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	43	44	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.24	12	-4	16	17.3	18.9	-1.60	16.0	15.9	0.10
Juwan Howard	56	55	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	5	-2	18.7	16.9	1.73	16.6	14.9	1.74
Jerryd Bayless	41	40	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	16.8	19.2	-2.40	14.0	17.8	-3.87
Andre Miller	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	18.6	16.3	2.33	16.3	15.1	1.20
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	72	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	18.5	15.5	2.99	15.3	20.4	-5.15
Steve Blake	40	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	-1	10	17.4	18.7	-1.31	17.2	14.9	2.29
Jeff Ayres	21	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	0	8	16.8	18.5	-1.67	16.1	16.0	0.18
Brandon Roy	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	20.2	16.9	3.34	17.6	15.1	2.48
Dante Cunningham	20	19	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	5	-2	16.2	18.6	-2.45	16.9	15.7	1.16
Martell Webster	35	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	17	-26	18.5	17.8	0.66	15.0	16.6	-1.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-8	8	16.6	15.3	1.26	18.5	17.5	0.94
Marreese Speights	24	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	15.0	16.4	-1.34	19.5	17.6	1.87
Thaddeus Young	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	17.0	14.7	2.24	17.7	18.6	-0.84
Willie Green	24	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	2	-12	14.5	16.6	-2.04	17.0	18.4	-1.33
Allen Iverson	56	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-5	2	17.2	13.5	3.70	18.6	16.7	1.84
Samuel Dalembert	53	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-6	4	16.3	15.5	0.72	18.4	17.4	0.94
Jrue Holiday	45	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.6	17.6	-2.97	17.2	19.0	-1.84
Andre Iguodala	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-4	0	16.5	12.6	3.86	18.3	16.0	2.35
Elton Brand	49	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	14.6	18.0	-3.38	17.2	19.3	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 106, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.25,0.42,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	93.2%
TOR 107, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.2%
GSW 114, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.8%