NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	6.5 [521]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +18.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.4 [515]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -9.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	25	64%	0.29	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16	0.03	0.13	-0.00	19	54%	0.22	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Delonte West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	14	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	48%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.08	0.07	17	67%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	17	47%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	24.4	15.4	27.0	2.0	38.1	133.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.5%

BOS +11.5%

BOS +9.5%

POR -1.7%

BOS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.6	115.9	110.3	104.4
season	14.8	16.6		103.3	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.8		109.8	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	16.9	14.4	16.3	15.5
POR	18.4	18.2	19.2	14.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	74	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-4	14	16.0	12.7	3.29	17.5	17.4	0.11
Delonte West	70	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-1	8	15.4	15.7	-0.24	17.0	19.2	-2.25
Raef LaFrentz	46	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-3	12	17.0	13.8	3.24	17.5	17.4	0.14
Paul Pierce	74	72	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	15.7	14.4	1.33	17.6	16.6	1.03
Wally Szczerbiak	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	7	-8	16.0	13.4	2.63	16.8	20.3	-3.49
Orien Greene	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	1	4	13.3	16.9	-3.61	18.1	17.1	1.04
Brian Scalabrine	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	15.0	15.8	-0.76	18.9	16.5	2.45
Michael Olowokandi	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.00	3	3	0	15.5	15.5	0.03	21.0	17.0	4.01
Tony Allen	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	14.2	15.9	-1.65	17.8	17.3	0.48
Dwayne Jones	1	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	0.0	15.7	-15.66	1.0	17.6	-16.64
Gerald Green	4	3	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	14	-22	9.0	15.8	-6.79	4.3	17.9	-13.58

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-3	0	25.7	16.8	8.83	18.8	15.2	3.60
Travis Outlaw	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	17.5	17.4	0.10	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Jarrett Jack	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	19.3	16.3	3.00	15.1	15.7	-0.65
Juan Dixon	50	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-8	10	16.9	18.2	-1.29	15.3	15.7	-0.32
Darius Miles	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-11	16	16.9	18.6	-1.66	16.6	13.1	3.42
Zach Randolph	76	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-6	6	16.6	23.1	-6.46	15.1	18.5	-3.40
Steve Blake	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-4	2	16.3	19.3	-3.00	15.7	15.1	0.65
Viktor Khryapa	31	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	9	-24	19.5	16.3	3.21	15.5	15.5	0.03
Martell Webster	74	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	5	-16	17.5	17.1	0.44	15.1	17.7	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.32,0.05,0	93.3%
LAL 100, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0	93.2%
MIA 86, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	93.1%