NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	6.7 [519]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIL): +9.1%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.6 [405]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -12.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	7	70%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	87%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	15	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.10	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Redd	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	16	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	48%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	38%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jamison Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	41%	-0.01	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	19	48%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.11	0.02	21	59%	-0.05	3	-0.08	14	93%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.5	16.5	27.4	1.5	34.9	136.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +29.8%

MIL +1.7%

MIL +19.5%

NYK -1.8%

MIL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.5	112.2	105.5	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		104.4	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.2	16.4	17.9	15.8	16.8
NYK	14.8	14.2	16.4	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	50	52	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-4	13	16.1	17.7	-1.64	14.3	16.0	-1.76
Toni Kukoc	30	32	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-6	17	16.6	16.9	-0.27	15.4	14.8	0.64
Desmond Mason	80	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	6	-7	17.1	14.3	2.83	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Mike James	46	47	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-3	11	16.3	17.4	-1.08	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Zaza Pachulia	44	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	16.7	16.9	-0.12	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Michael Redd	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	7	-9	16.4	17.9	-1.51	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Mo Williams	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	8	-11	17.4	16.3	1.08	15.1	15.0	0.09
Dan Gadzuric	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	-1	7	17.2	16.4	0.77	16.2	13.9	2.33
Joe Smith	48	47	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	7	-9	17.4	16.1	1.34	15.6	14.4	1.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	14.8	15.0	-0.27	18.4	16.6	1.81
Bruno Sundov	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-3	1	14.2	15.1	-0.87	13.2	17.0	-3.82
Trevor Ariza	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-4	3	15.4	14.6	0.84	17.1	16.6	0.50
Nazr Mohammed	22	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	2	-9	15.9	14.7	1.17	17.7	16.5	1.26
Jamison Brewer	25	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	1	-7	15.6	14.8	0.80	17.7	16.5	1.13
Kurt Thomas	75	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	15.1	14.9	0.18	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Jamal Crawford	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-7	9	14.6	16.8	-2.17	16.4	19.3	-2.93
Stephon Marbury	81	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	14.7	17.4	-2.67	16.7	18.1	-1.44
Michael Sweetney	70	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.47	3	-8	11	15.0	15.2	-0.22	16.5	17.6	-1.09
Jerome Williams	48	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	5	-15	15.2	14.9	0.31	17.2	16.5	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	93.3%
PHI 85, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.08,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.08,0	92.6%
SEA 103, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.4%