inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 118 Excitement6.2 [555] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +19.3%
Phoenix Suns 110 Comeback3.5 [455] LVPKevin Durant (PHX): -14.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.190,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.190.120.080.012757%0.231-0.04771%-0.02
Jalen Williams0.140,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.05-0.011956%0.161-0.021100%0.00
Cason Wallace0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.070.00383%0.1200.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.050.00650%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Luguentz Dort0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.01-0.031350%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Josh Giddey0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00956%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.021056%0.041-0.02580%-0.00
Isaiah Joe0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.02944%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.10.100.110.010.021482%0.297-0.191080%-0.00
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.06-0.011550%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Drew Eubanks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00375%0.0500.002100%0.02
Grayson Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.040.010.02-0.01944%0.0400.0000%0.00
Saben Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.040.00642%0.0400.0000%0.00
Royce O'Neale0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.021045%0.062-0.0500%0.00
David Roddy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bol Bol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.011644%-0.015-0.1000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.110.031556%0.005-0.156100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.43.431.415.527.33.433.5140.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +14.7%
PHX -3.2%
PHX -9.8%
OKC +45.0%
OKC +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPHXNBAOKCPHXNBA
this game13.015.014.5113.5107.8113.9
season13.914.6117.1116.1
opponent14.414.7113.5109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.810.913.813.813.0
PHX16.814.513.415.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander83810.83-0.331.160.4513-51813.013.0-0.0415.015.2-0.29
Aaron Wiggins48490.63-0.130.760.1018-102812.413.5-1.1115.015.0-0.06
Kenrich Williams17170.58-0.080.670.1714-62014.212.71.5117.514.52.95
Cason Wallace36390.440.060.390.2471612.013.5-1.5316.314.22.02
Jalen Williams70690.330.170.160.3017-613.212.50.7014.915.2-0.34
Bismack Biyombo17160.270.230.04-0.1113-51811.413.3-1.8615.015.0-0.01
Isaiah Joe31310.200.30-0.100.0262411.813.5-1.6615.414.90.50
Luguentz Dort71660.030.47-0.450.11-311-1413.412.11.2414.316.2-1.87
Josh Giddey4543-0.030.53-0.550.03-210-1212.913.0-0.0714.415.5-1.10
Chet Holmgren7069-0.350.85-1.210.20-1927-4613.012.80.2214.416.3-1.87
Gordon Hayward3230-0.440.94-1.37-0.20-816-2414.812.22.6615.914.71.21

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic70710.20-0.700.90-0.1010-182814.815.6-0.8113.312.40.89
Bradley Beal7273-0.02-0.480.45-0.175-131814.715.7-1.0213.012.80.23
David Roddy1615-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-3-213.815.2-1.4211.713.2-1.52
Eric Gordon6566-0.15-0.350.200.14-102-1214.815.5-0.7113.013.0-0.05
Bol Bol1817-0.20-0.300.100.04-80-814.315.2-0.8911.113.3-2.22
Saben Lee3029-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-5216.314.51.8314.212.51.67
Royce O'Neale6670-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.17-4-4016.312.63.7512.913.1-0.26
Grayson Allen7477-0.500.00-0.50-0.41-3-5214.516.2-1.7112.813.4-0.59
Drew Eubanks2424-0.570.07-0.64-0.19-135-1815.714.80.9713.013.0-0.02
Kevin Durant7578-0.650.15-0.79-0.38-91-1014.715.8-1.0413.112.60.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.16,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 93, CLE 810.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.17,0.02,0.01,0,089.8%
POR 125, DEN 1150.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.31,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.43,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.01,0.03,0.01,089.7%
MIN 96, HOU 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.2,0.21,0.09,0.09,089.0%