NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	6.9 [458]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +9.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	1.8 [505]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -27.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.03	0.01	7	100%	0.14	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	16	41%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Josh Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	10	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	27	47%	0.02	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	8	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	5	58%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.18,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.10	-0.02	19	33%	-0.18	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.09
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.27	-0.03	-0.04	20	31%	-0.18	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	29.0	16.5	28.5	2.7	29.3	131.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.8%

PHI +11.1%

CLE -9.0%

PHI +2.8%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.1	16.6	15.5	94.9	84.4	104.0
season	13.9	16.2		101.1	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.8		103.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.3	10.8	15.2	15.0	13.1
CLE	18.7	18.8	14.2	15.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	72	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	2	8	12.7	14.1	-1.35	16.3	17.7	-1.38
Chris Webber	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	6	0	13.4	12.4	0.96	16.6	16.7	-0.10
Kyle Korver	77	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	4	4	12.3	16.0	-3.77	17.1	15.0	2.11
Allen Iverson	88	88	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	5	2	13.6	8.2	5.44	16.4	19.4	-2.98
Rodney Rogers	46	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.08	12	0	12	12.7	13.4	-0.77	16.3	16.9	-0.58
John Salmons	27	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	8	-4	12.9	13.2	-0.32	16.1	16.8	-0.77
Samuel Dalembert	31	31	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	9	-6	13.7	12.8	0.87	16.5	16.7	-0.29
Josh Davis	2	2	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	10	-8	1.5	13.3	-11.82	19.5	16.6	2.91
Marc Jackson	47	45	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	11	-10	13.2	13.0	0.17	17.0	16.3	0.67
Aaron McKie	30	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.22	7	5	2	14.6	12.4	2.19	17.6	16.3	1.32

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	30	30	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.13	6	-18	24	17.1	16.5	0.61	13.0	13.1	-0.12
Ira Newble	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-7	2	18.9	15.1	3.88	11.1	14.4	-3.37
Eric Snow	27	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-4	-4	15.9	17.0	-1.10	15.4	12.0	3.39
Lucious Harris	17	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-5	-2	18.2	16.3	1.93	12.3	13.2	-0.92
Sasha Pavlovic	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-14	16	14.0	18.5	-4.46	15.1	11.8	3.31
Robert Traylor	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-6	0	18.0	16.1	1.96	12.7	13.3	-0.61
Jeff McInnis	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	16.8	16.3	0.48	12.3	15.4	-3.04
LeBron James	92	94	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	16.6	16.7	-0.11	13.1	13.2	-0.18
Drew Gooden	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	0	-12	16.2	17.5	-1.28	13.0	13.2	-0.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	0	-12	16.3	17.6	-1.31	13.3	12.3	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.17,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.3%
MIN 96, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.2,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	91.0%
DET 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.3,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.09,0.02,0	90.8%