NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	6.2 [577]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +33.1%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.4 [460]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (TOR): -18.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33	0.23	0.08	-0.02	13	84%	0.33	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	4	33%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.05	18	49%	-0.00	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	6	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.03	0.03	12	73%	0.14	1	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	24	49%	0.12	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	10	35%	-0.14	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	26.3	16.7	24.8	2.4	31.4	131.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +13.3%

TOR -4.7%

DET +28.3%

DET +10.9%

DET +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	18.2	14.6	15.5	116.3	103.3	106.4
season	16.9	15.1		104.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		108.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.9	16.5	18.7	19.8	18.2
TOR	15.0	14.8	15.6	13.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	56	60	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-3	13	17.3	19.8	-2.48	15.2	13.5	1.68
Tayshaun Prince	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	17.5	21.4	-3.89	15.0	13.2	1.82
Kwame Brown	32	31	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	0	7	19.5	17.4	2.09	14.3	14.8	-0.46
Richard Hamilton	66	71	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	7	-7	17.6	20.1	-2.49	14.6	14.6	0.05
Jason Maxiell	37	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	0	7	18.3	18.1	0.20	15.1	14.3	0.85
Arron Afflalo	14	13	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-1	9	18.8	18.1	0.72	12.9	14.9	-1.99
Walter Herrmann	22	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	9	-11	20.1	17.5	2.56	13.0	15.2	-2.25
Amir Johnson	29	31	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	4	-1	17.7	18.5	-0.80	16.5	13.6	2.84
Alex Acker	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	23.9	17.6	6.27	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Rasheed Wallace	65	70	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	11	-15	17.6	20.1	-2.53	14.3	15.8	-1.51
Will Bynum	30	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.06	-3	10	-13	19.8	17.3	2.48	13.5	15.2	-1.68

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	3	2	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-11	15	9.0	14.8	-5.82	18.5	18.2	0.32
Will Solomon	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	13.3	15.1	-1.79	20.1	17.5	2.59
Joey Graham	9	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	0	-7	13.4	14.8	-1.31	19.3	18.0	1.26
Jason Kapono	42	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	14.0	15.2	-1.26	18.8	17.6	1.23
Jermaine O'Neal	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-10	13	15.9	13.0	2.91	19.1	17.0	2.09
Anthony Parker	68	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-9	11	14.6	14.5	0.10	18.5	17.4	1.11
Jamario Moon	61	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-4	1	15.2	13.3	1.88	17.2	20.1	-2.89
Chris Bosh	85	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	14.7	13.0	1.72	17.9	22.3	-4.46
Andrea Bargnani	41	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	8	-23	13.3	15.8	-2.49	17.7	18.6	-0.91
Jose Calderon	68	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.35	-3	-4	1	15.1	13.3	1.79	17.5	20.1	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.3,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.02,0	92.9%
DEN 113, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.01,0,0	92.7%
BOS 100, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.05,0.16,0.02,0	92.7%