NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	6.5 [514]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +20.1%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	1.1 [369]		LVP	Ike Austin (WAS): -19.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.00	12	76%	0.23	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	15	69%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	15	62%	0.13	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Murdock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Avent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.02	-0.03	13	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	11	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Michael Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	60%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	17	54%	0.05	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	12	47%	-0.05	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	25.0	14.5	27.2	2.0	38.1	131.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +44.6%

LAC +9.2%

WAS -24.1%

LAC +20.1%

LAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.2	102.1	92.7	101.7
season	15.6	15.5		95.5	101.1
opponent	14.8	14.3		104.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	14.7	15.7	17.3	15.5
WAS	13.8	15.3	15.7	13.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	79	81	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-4	17	15.6	14.9	0.65	14.0	17.3	-3.25
Eric Piatkowski	91	92	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-3	15	15.3	19.6	-4.35	14.8	7.5	7.33
Brian Skinner	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.5	0.0	15.48	14.5	0.0	14.52
Lamar Odom	88	88	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	5	-1	15.3	17.2	-1.93	14.1	19.6	-5.57
Troy Hudson	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	1	7	15.0	16.6	-1.59	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Eric Murdock	43	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	3	3	16.3	14.8	1.53	15.5	13.8	1.74
Anthony Avent	15	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	16	-23	16.9	15.2	1.64	18.0	13.9	4.07

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	57	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-18	27	14.4	14.8	-0.42	15.8	15.0	0.86
Gerard King	22	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-6	3	14.0	14.7	-0.68	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Juwan Howard	71	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.21	2	-11	13	14.1	15.6	-1.46	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Rod Strickland	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-9	9	14.2	14.9	-0.68	15.0	16.1	-1.18
Aaron Williams	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-11	13	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.3	15.8	-0.58
Michael Smith	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	2	-13	14.5	14.6	-0.08	15.8	15.3	0.58
Chris Whitney	42	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	0	-9	14.9	14.2	0.68	15.8	15.2	0.56
Tracy Murray	27	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	3	-15	15.9	14.0	1.85	15.9	15.3	0.58
Ike Austin	72	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.6	14.4	0.14	15.9	14.1	1.77
Richard Hamilton	39	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	9	-27	14.8	14.4	0.42	15.0	15.8	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 113, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.01,0,0	93.7%
DET 99, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.2%
SAC 110, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.07,0.01,0	93.2%