NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	5.7 [531]		MVP	Deron Williams (NJN): +24.1%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.4 [388]		LVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): -17.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	82%	0.21	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	9	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Walker Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	10	52%	0.10	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Austin Daye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.11	0.06	21	67%	0.29	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.02	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.08	0.02	13	76%	0.13	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	12	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	35.5	15.7	23.4	2.4	32.4	136.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.3%

NJN -0.7%

DET +4.6%

DET +7.0%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.6	113.8	104.5	102.8
season	16.3	16.2		99.5	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		107.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.5	15.7	16.9	15.9	15.5
NJN	19.2	16.3	19.1	15.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-4	15	15.2	16.3	-1.13	16.4	20.3	-3.83
Brandon Knight	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	3	1	15.4	15.5	-0.10	17.6	17.0	0.52
Greg Monroe	65	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	7	-7	16.1	13.6	2.46	17.4	17.4	0.01
Ben Gordon	37	39	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-3	13	15.8	15.2	0.59	17.2	17.6	-0.45
Rodney Stuckey	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	7	-7	15.8	14.5	1.28	17.7	16.8	0.94
Tayshaun Prince	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	8	-9	14.9	17.0	-2.02	17.6	17.1	0.48
Austin Daye	13	14	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	-2	11	15.3	15.5	-0.19	17.4	17.4	-0.00
Ben Wallace	22	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.13	7	0	7	13.6	16.1	-2.46	17.4	17.4	-0.01
Walker Russell	17	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	15.6	15.4	0.22	16.2	17.8	-1.62
Jason Maxiell	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	16.3	15.2	1.13	20.3	16.4	3.83

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Williams	19	19	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.18	13	-20	33	18.1	17.3	0.79	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Sundiata Gaines	6	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	11.8	17.8	-6.01	19.0	15.3	3.70
Keith Bogans	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-5	3	17.1	17.7	-0.63	14.7	16.1	-1.38
Johan Petro	9	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	15.2	17.7	-2.46	15.4	15.5	-0.03
Shawne Williams	34	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	16.9	17.7	-0.80	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Deron Williams	73	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-4	1	17.9	15.1	2.77	15.8	13.8	2.01
Shelden Williams	54	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	18.1	16.3	1.85	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Anthony Morrow	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	18.1	15.9	2.23	15.8	14.7	1.11
Kris Humphries	76	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	17.5	17.2	0.21	15.6	14.7	0.90
Jordan Farmar	67	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	16.8	19.6	-2.81	15.5	15.2	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, PHX 79	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.6%
OKC 121, MEM 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.09,0	93.5%
DAL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	93.4%