NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	6.8 [351]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +26.5%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	1.5 [623]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -33.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26	0.14	0.14	0.02	15	76%	0.39	5	-0.13	15	80%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	10	71%	0.20	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	48%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.23	-0.11	-0.01	8	15%	-0.17	6	-0.16	4	25%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	18	60%	0.19	5	-0.14	9	100%	0.06
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	13	61%	0.14	4	-0.17	5	80%	-0.02
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	33.3	15.6	23.2	2.3	39.6	143.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.6%

WAS -2.1%

BOS +15.6%

BOS +7.7%

WAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.6	104.2	97.9	102.8
season	15.5	15.0		99.4	99.5
opponent	15.7	16.2		104.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	14.0	14.0	16.5	15.0
WAS	15.1	15.3	15.4	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	72	73	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.31	17	-11	28	14.4	16.7	-2.24	15.1	14.7	0.36
Avery Bradley	83	84	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-5	16	14.4	18.6	-4.19	14.7	17.3	-2.65
Mickael Pietrus	69	69	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-1	8	14.4	16.6	-2.23	15.4	14.1	1.30
Brandon Bass	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	15.2	14.4	0.74	14.2	17.2	-3.01
Jermaine O'Neal	55	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	-1	8	14.9	15.1	-0.27	15.8	14.0	1.79
Ray Allen	21	20	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-2	10	16.3	14.6	1.66	15.9	14.8	1.19
Kevin Garnett	65	67	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	7	-8	14.7	15.5	-0.78	15.1	14.8	0.36
Greg Stiemsma	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	24.0	14.9	9.11	21.0	14.9	6.05
Sasha Pavlovic	8	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	11	-16	19.7	14.6	5.19	13.0	15.2	-2.17
E'Twaun Moore	14	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	14	-22	18.5	14.4	4.11	16.5	14.8	1.74
Marquis Daniels	21	21	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	18	-30	15.8	14.8	0.99	13.6	15.4	-1.78

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	21	22	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.00	8	-14	22	15.0	15.0	-0.01	17.6	14.2	3.43
Trevor Booker	21	21	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-13	20	12.8	15.6	-2.88	17.0	14.4	2.63
Roger Mason Jr.	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-2	-2	16.8	14.9	1.89	17.5	14.9	2.62
Jan Vesely	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-4	2	19.0	14.7	4.26	13.3	15.1	-1.77
Chris Singleton	36	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-6	6	15.4	14.8	0.65	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Jordan Crawford	52	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-13	20	14.4	15.7	-1.37	15.6	14.3	1.29
Rashard Lewis	35	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	0	-6	15.9	14.5	1.47	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Shelvin Mack	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	18.4	14.6	3.78	15.7	14.9	0.79
John Wall	86	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-4	2	14.6	18.4	-3.78	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Andray Blatche	75	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	1	-8	14.7	16.0	-1.27	14.4	17.0	-2.57
Nick Young	68	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	5	-16	14.9	15.3	-0.44	14.8	15.4	-0.52
JaVale McGee	65	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	10	-26	15.5	14.1	1.40	14.1	16.8	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.05,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.01,0	93.4%
DET 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.3,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.09,0.02,0	92.7%
CLE 104, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	92.5%