NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	7.4 [371]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +31.9%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	1.2 [829]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -17.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.21	0.02	21	57%	0.32	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.11	0.01	12	90%	0.39	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	0.01	10	45%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	5	40%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
James Ennis III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.11	-0.02	10	55%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	16	53%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	56%	0.16	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	11	33%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	16	35%	-0.13	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	26.5	15.6	24.0	1.5	30.6	125.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.5%

MEM +8.5%

MEM +6.9%

CHI -12.8%

MEM +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	17.8	15.3	14.8	112.6	104.6	107.7
season	16.1	15.1		106.4	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		105.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	17.5	19.9	18.9	17.8
CHI	13.0	15.2	16.9	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	45	44	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-8	23	16.6	19.0	-2.49	15.7	15.0	0.73
Mike Conley	66	65	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.21	19	-12	31	17.8	17.7	0.06	15.8	14.0	1.86
Vince Carter	53	53	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	17.3	18.5	-1.27	15.5	15.1	0.47
JaMychal Green	43	43	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	17.2	18.3	-1.09	15.5	15.2	0.38
Marc Gasol	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	17.2	19.7	-2.48	15.0	16.6	-1.53
Brandan Wright	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	8	-9	19.7	17.2	2.48	16.6	15.0	1.53
Zach Randolph	44	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	12	-17	18.3	17.2	1.09	15.2	15.5	-0.38
Troy Daniels	34	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	9	-11	18.5	17.3	1.27	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Andrew Harrison	19	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	17	-27	18.4	17.6	0.85	14.0	15.8	-1.77
James Ennis III	44	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	19	-31	18.7	16.8	1.87	15.1	15.6	-0.50

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	45	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	15.2	15.5	-0.35	17.8	17.7	0.06
Paul Zipser	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-4	1	14.5	15.5	-0.92	17.2	17.8	-0.63
Michael Carter-Williams	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-3	-1	17.1	14.7	2.40	18.7	17.4	1.27
Nikola Mirotic	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.29	7	-14	21	15.0	15.8	-0.76	18.0	17.5	0.52
Dwyane Wade	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-4	1	15.5	15.2	0.22	18.6	17.0	1.57
Denzel Valentine	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-8	9	15.6	15.1	0.52	18.0	17.5	0.46
Bobby Portis	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	7	-21	15.8	15.0	0.76	17.5	18.0	-0.52
Rajon Rondo	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-4	1	14.7	17.1	-2.40	17.4	18.7	-1.27
Robin Lopez	42	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	1	-9	15.5	15.2	0.35	17.7	17.8	-0.06
Jimmy Butler	73	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	2	-11	15.2	15.9	-0.61	17.2	20.5	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.05,0.16,0.02,0	93.4%
PHX 105, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.04,0,0	92.8%
MEM 110, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.03,0	92.4%