NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	8.5 [180]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (MEM): +50.6%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.6 [251]		LVP	Earl Boykins (GSW): -15.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.51	0.01	0.47	-0.02	15	67%	0.63	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	62%	0.12	1	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Mike Batiste	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	18	39%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	16	70%	0.24	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.09
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.11	0.00	20	43%	0.10	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.05
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	16	44%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	9	27%	-0.15	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	27.7	16.7	29.3	1.7	40.0	141.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +46.1%

GSW -0.4%

GSW -3.5%

GSW -8.9%

MEM +16.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	13.3	15.5	110.0	104.9	101.6
season	15.3	14.6		101.8	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	14.4	13.7	16.2	15.1
GSW	14.4	13.3	14.0	11.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	65	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.43	8	-6	14	14.3	16.7	-2.40	13.3	13.3	0.05
Pau Gasol	79	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-3	8	14.2	18.6	-4.39	13.5	12.5	1.08
Gordan Giricek	59	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.59	0	2	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.70	14.3	11.9	2.39
Lorenzen Wright	78	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-3	8	14.4	17.5	-3.08	13.5	12.6	0.92
Shane Battier	61	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	-3	8	13.3	17.9	-4.54	13.1	13.6	-0.51
Drew Gooden	56	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-2	6	16.0	14.0	1.96	13.0	13.6	-0.60
Mike Batiste	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	3	-4	17.2	14.7	2.57	11.5	13.6	-2.13
Brevin Knight	35	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	16.7	14.3	2.40	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Earl Watson	24	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	7	-12	18.3	14.1	4.20	12.0	13.7	-1.72
Stromile Swift	26	27	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	10	-18	18.5	13.9	4.65	13.1	13.4	-0.26

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jiri Welsch	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	0.0	13.4	-13.43	6.0	15.2	-9.19
Mike Dunleavy	18	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	1	-4	10.7	13.9	-3.19	11.9	15.7	-3.81
Antawn Jamison	79	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	1	-4	13.4	13.0	0.39	14.7	16.6	-1.91
Adonal Foyle	41	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-6	10	12.5	13.8	-1.35	16.9	14.0	2.94
Earl Boykins	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.47	8	-10	18	12.3	14.6	-2.29	16.3	13.5	2.76
Erick Dampier	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	3	-8	14.0	12.7	1.25	15.3	14.9	0.33
Gilbert Arenas	74	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-1	0	13.2	13.5	-0.25	13.8	18.0	-4.19
Jason Richardson	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	9	-20	14.6	12.4	2.27	13.2	16.4	-3.23
Troy Murphy	102	98	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-3	4	13.4	2.0	11.41	15.3	5.5	9.80
Bob Sura	52	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.48	0	-2	2	14.3	12.3	1.96	17.0	13.1	3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.01,0	92.4%
LAL 95, VAN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.35,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.24,0.1,0.09,0,0	92.3%
OKC 101, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.08,0	92.3%