NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	114		Excitement	7.1 [416]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +44.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	3.1 [880]		LVP	Mo Bamba (PHI): -7.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Richards	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.05	0.00	9	86%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.05	0.04	18	71%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	6	100%	0.22	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Davis Bertans	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Vasilije Micic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	59%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Bryce McGowens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tre Mann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.26	0.20	0.02	19	82%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	9	75%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.03	29	52%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	85%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	22.7	14.7	25.6	2.4	39.2	130.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.7%

PHI +0.8%

PHI +40.4%

CHA -4.2%

CHA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	14.5	129.5	137.5	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		108.3	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.6	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	15.7	19.7	15.6	16.6
PHI	14.5	15.7	15.3	19.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce McGowens	19	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-8	9	15.7	16.8	-1.14	13.9	16.7	-2.81
Grant Williams	49	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.49	14	-21	35	15.7	17.7	-1.95	17.0	15.1	1.88
Cody Martin	57	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-9	11	16.9	15.9	1.04	16.9	14.8	2.02
Davis Bertans	39	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-8	9	15.0	17.8	-2.79	16.1	16.2	-0.17
Seth Curry	40	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	2	-11	18.4	15.0	3.38	14.7	17.5	-2.79
Nick Richards	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	2	-11	17.0	15.9	1.02	16.2	16.1	0.05
Tre Mann	58	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	2	-11	16.5	16.8	-0.33	17.3	13.9	3.46
Vasilije Micic	51	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	0	-7	16.4	16.9	-0.49	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Miles Bridges	72	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.10	-19	12	-31	16.9	15.2	1.63	15.6	18.7	-3.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.10	19	-12	31	15.6	18.7	-3.18	16.9	15.2	1.63
Tobias Harris	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.13	16	-9	25	16.2	15.7	0.56	17.2	13.5	3.67
Paul Reed	44	43	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-1	9	15.4	16.9	-1.43	16.9	16.2	0.69
Kyle Lowry	67	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	17.1	13.2	3.88	16.3	17.4	-1.11
Nicolas Batum	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	11	-15	17.3	14.6	2.67	15.3	18.2	-2.87
Cameron Payne	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	7	-7	15.3	16.6	-1.30	17.6	16.1	1.50
Buddy Hield	59	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	4	-1	15.7	17.1	-1.48	16.6	16.6	0.04
Mo Bamba	36	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	4	-1	15.8	16.4	-0.58	16.7	16.5	0.17
Ricky Council IV	11	11	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.11	-15	22	-37	17.3	16.0	1.29	13.4	17.0	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
PHI 104, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,1	93.1%
UTA 77, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%