NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	5.3 [725]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +30.8%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	3.6 [446]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -21.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.31	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.23	0.08	-0.01	17	75%	0.31	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	11	68%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	12	36%	0.04	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	40%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.09	0.06	11	54%	-0.05	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	21	55%	0.20	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	5	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.07
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	21	44%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	4	71%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.03	0.06	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	28.5	15.5	30.6	2.4	27.4	130.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -22.5%

WAS +44.1%

WAS +2.9%

WAS +26.8%

NJN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	15.4	98.9	115.6	105.7
season	15.4	16.1		101.8	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		107.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	13.8	15.0	15.9	15.1
WAS	16.3	18.3	15.7	17.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	49	49	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.22	13	-28	41	14.6	15.7	-1.09	18.0	15.7	2.34
Darrell Armstrong	18	17	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.19	7	-22	29	17.1	14.6	2.56	16.7	17.0	-0.28
Jamaal Magloire	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	14.6	15.1	-0.54	15.4	17.1	-1.63
Malik Allen	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-8	1	16.1	14.7	1.40	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Eddie Gill	3	2	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-11	7	13.7	15.1	-1.45	11.0	17.1	-6.07
Jason Collins	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	-4	-7	15.9	14.7	1.17	17.0	16.9	0.15
Josh Boone	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-12	9	15.3	14.8	0.53	16.4	17.5	-1.02
Vince Carter	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	1	-17	14.8	16.1	-1.31	17.3	15.5	1.80
Antoine Wright	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-4	-7	15.1	15.0	0.12	16.7	17.3	-0.57
Jason Kidd	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.13	-22	7	-29	14.6	17.1	-2.56	17.0	16.7	0.28
Richard Jefferson	82	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.00	-22	7	-29	15.0	16.1	-1.16	16.9	17.4	-0.48

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	84	83	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.04	21	-6	27	16.7	20.3	-3.64	15.2	13.4	1.78
Antawn Jamison	86	87	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-5	25	17.0	14.7	2.28	15.0	15.7	-0.62
Darius Songaila	29	29	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.00	21	-6	27	16.0	17.4	-1.38	16.1	14.6	1.48
Antonio Daniels	66	67	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.14	16	-1	17	16.4	18.4	-1.97	15.2	14.7	0.50
DeShawn Stevenson	69	68	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	4	7	17.2	15.9	1.34	14.6	16.5	-1.84
Brendan Haywood	44	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	3	9	16.8	17.1	-0.27	15.4	14.8	0.59
Roger Mason Jr.	36	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	13	-11	17.2	16.7	0.48	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Nick Young	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	17	-19	17.7	16.8	0.85	15.9	14.9	0.96
Dominic McGuire	10	10	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	26	-37	18.1	16.8	1.31	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Andray Blatche	14	16	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.11	-15	30	-45	18.9	16.6	2.28	13.7	15.4	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.79,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
UTA 77, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
ORL 89, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.83,0.77,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.2%