inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 89 Excitement6.2 [619] MVPJosh Richardson (MIA): +16.5%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback4.2 [555] LVPJonathon Simmons (ORL): -15.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.08-0.00867%0.171-0.042100%0.01
Arron Afflalo0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.050.00490%0.1300.002100%0.01
Evan Fournier0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.021061%0.114-0.093100%0.02
Wes Iwundu0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Adreian Payne0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khem Birch0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.00750%-0.011-0.034100%0.02
Elfrid Payton-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.011849%0.012-0.05333%0.00
Mario Hezonja-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.031254%0.003-0.072100%0.01
Jonathan Isaac-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.01410%-0.061-0.04250%-0.01
Bismack Biyombo-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00719%-0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Jonathon Simmons-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.02822%-0.054-0.112100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.100.130.061462%0.191-0.024100%0.03
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.150.050.041178%0.1500.0010%-0.02
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.01480%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.011645%0.0310.006100%0.04
Derrick Walton Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Williams Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.031454%0.074-0.0800%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.02839%-0.0310.00250%-0.01
Jordan Mickey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02333%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.11,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.16-0.01-0.011837%0.015-0.15250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.530.515.328.41.826.5129.2
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +23.5%
MIA +1.8%
MIA +13.1%
MIA +9.6%
MIA +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game13.515.514.789.0108.1107.5
season14.615.1104.2105.4
opponent14.614.5105.8109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.112.813.014.113.5
MIA14.115.515.317.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wes Iwundu31310.07-0.570.65-0.075-232813.213.6-0.3714.615.9-1.25
D.J. Augustin33310.05-0.550.60-0.136-243014.812.91.9114.515.9-1.40
Adreian Payne340.00-0.500.500.000-18187.313.7-6.3415.015.5-0.49
Khem Birch340.00-0.500.500.000-18187.313.7-6.3415.015.5-0.49
Marreese Speights3433-0.00-0.500.49-0.217-253213.913.30.6115.015.7-0.67
Arron Afflalo3536-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-192015.112.62.4714.616.0-1.44
Mario Hezonja6766-0.21-0.290.080.20-14-4-1012.814.9-2.0916.213.92.30
Evan Fournier6361-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-180-1812.814.7-1.9016.114.41.67
Jonathan Isaac3432-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.14-7-11415.212.62.6113.516.4-2.96
Bismack Biyombo6362-0.50-0.00-0.490.24-257-3213.613.40.2015.715.00.71
Elfrid Payton6869-0.520.02-0.540.18-246-3013.214.1-0.9516.014.31.73
Jonathon Simmons6666-0.550.05-0.590.07-213-2413.214.1-0.8815.914.61.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson76760.89-0.391.28-0.0532-144615.615.00.5613.413.8-0.46
Bam Adebayo50500.70-0.200.90-0.0024-63015.215.7-0.4715.011.93.08
Kelly Olynyk69690.370.130.25-0.2120-22215.515.50.0113.114.4-1.27
Wayne Ellington66680.340.160.180.02117415.415.6-0.2014.511.23.33
Josh Richardson73750.330.170.15-0.111531216.014.01.9513.413.7-0.27
Goran Dragic63650.140.36-0.23-0.04612-614.617.0-2.3513.413.7-0.27
Hassan Whiteside38390.030.47-0.43-0.08414-1015.715.40.3012.114.3-2.22
Jordan Mickey31320.010.49-0.480.25-826-3415.415.5-0.1713.413.5-0.11
Matt Williams Jr.430.000.50-0.500.00018-1815.015.5-0.497.313.7-6.34
Derrick Walton Jr.2523-0.310.81-1.120.10-1432-4616.315.21.1312.213.9-1.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.83,0.77,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 77, LAL 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%
TOR 89, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.71,0.63,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,192.6%
NJN 87, POR 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,192.6%