NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	77		Excitement	5.6 [684]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	2.8 [782]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (UTA): -12.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	16	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Maynor	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	12	26%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	19	59%	0.16	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	10	76%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	8	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	27.4	15.8	27.1	1.7	30.3	126.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.6%

UTA -2.1%

UTA -9.1%

UTA -0.1%

UTA -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	17.0	14.7	15.3	84.6	111.0	106.0
season	15.3	15.7		109.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.0	18.0	15.6	16.4	17.0
LAL	16.2	14.1	15.7	12.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	12.8	17.5	-4.68	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Mehmet Okur	58	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	-15	6	18.0	15.2	2.85	15.1	14.0	1.10
CJ Miles	59	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-13	2	15.6	19.5	-3.86	14.3	15.3	-0.93
Eric Maynor	34	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-15	6	13.9	18.8	-4.83	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Deron Williams	57	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	-15	-9	-6	18.8	13.9	4.83	14.8	14.4	0.38
Paul Millsap	47	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-12	0	15.3	18.8	-3.54	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Ronnie Brewer	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-7	-10	18.1	14.7	3.43	14.9	14.1	0.80
Wesley Matthews	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	-4	-16	17.1	16.6	0.56	14.7	14.5	0.21
Carlos Boozer	67	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.12	-23	-1	-22	17.9	14.4	3.52	14.5	15.1	-0.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.23	29	-5	34	14.6	15.1	-0.54	18.2	12.4	5.79
Lamar Odom	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	3	18	14.3	15.4	-1.12	16.5	17.8	-1.32
Jordan Farmar	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	7	10	14.6	14.7	-0.15	14.7	18.9	-4.27
Andrew Bynum	61	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	12	0	14.7	14.6	0.07	17.4	16.2	1.25
Kobe Bryant	69	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.14	14	10	4	14.9	13.9	1.02	17.9	14.2	3.74
Sasha Vujacic	21	23	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	15	-6	13.6	15.0	-1.44	13.5	18.1	-4.67
Pau Gasol	60	61	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.31	17	7	10	15.0	14.1	0.84	17.7	15.4	2.29
Derek Fisher	33	34	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.10	5	19	-14	15.8	14.0	1.78	17.7	16.5	1.13
Josh Powell	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	16.0	14.6	1.38	8.2	17.5	-9.28
Shannon Brown	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	26	-28	14.1	15.0	-0.92	16.9	17.0	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DET 75, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
ORL 89, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.83,0.77,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%