NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	5.5 [730]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +37.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	4.0 [616]		LVP	Jason Kapono (TOR): -13.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.05	0.05	17	64%	0.18	0	0.00	11	100%	0.05
Anthony Parker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	17	49%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Will Solomon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.22	0.17	0.01	19	80%	0.42	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Greg Oden	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.04	0.03	13	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	13	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	28.7	14.8	22.5	1.7	29.6	121.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.7%

TOR -1.7%

TOR -1.3%

POR +12.9%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	17.6	15.5	106.0	121.4	106.4
season	15.1	16.7		105.0	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.8	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.7	14.1	21.0	16.1	16.6
POR	17.0	19.5	15.0	18.9	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	17	17	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.10	8	-21	29	14.5	17.2	-2.72	17.9	17.6	0.30
Kris Humphries	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	10.0	16.7	-6.72	25.0	17.6	7.45
Jason Kapono	55	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-6	-1	16.9	16.1	0.82	17.5	18.0	-0.54
Chris Bosh	67	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-7	1	16.7	16.4	0.36	17.6	17.8	-0.17
Joey Graham	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-14	15	16.1	16.8	-0.69	19.2	17.1	2.13
Andrea Bargnani	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-10	7	16.2	17.0	-0.71	19.4	16.3	3.05
Anthony Parker	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	14.8	18.5	-3.62	17.3	18.0	-0.76
Jermaine O'Neal	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	-1	-11	16.8	16.1	0.73	16.4	21.3	-4.92
Jamario Moon	49	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	3	-19	18.2	14.5	3.75	17.7	17.5	0.18
Jose Calderon	67	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.02	-21	8	-29	17.2	14.5	2.72	17.6	17.9	-0.30

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	66	68	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.13	18	-5	23	17.4	18.5	-1.09	17.4	13.6	3.73
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.01	21	-8	29	17.2	19.3	-2.08	17.0	15.2	1.81
Steve Blake	59	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.03	21	-8	29	17.0	19.2	-2.27	17.0	15.7	1.37
Greg Oden	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-2	17	17.3	18.1	-0.82	17.4	15.6	1.79
Rudy Fernandez	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	13	-13	20.1	16.1	3.96	16.2	16.9	-0.71
Nicolas Batum	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	5	3	15.3	18.9	-3.51	19.2	15.3	3.92
Joel Przybilla	35	34	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	15	-17	17.9	17.4	0.47	15.8	17.2	-1.48
Travis Outlaw	49	48	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	16	-19	18.3	16.7	1.69	14.5	19.6	-5.10
Sergio Rodriguez	25	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	21	-29	19.2	17.0	2.27	15.7	17.0	-1.37
Channing Frye	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	18	-23	18.2	17.6	0.62	13.4	17.1	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.71,0.63,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	93.9%
MIN 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MIN 79, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.3%