NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	79		Excitement	6.7 [430]		MVP	Micheal Williams (MIN): +5.7%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	3.4 [208]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -34.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Micheal Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Doug West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Chris Carr	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	36%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	12	42%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.12,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.24	-0.02	-0.04	17	37%	-0.02	8	-0.20	6	83%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.25,-0.33,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.23	-0.13	-0.02	22	36%	-0.17	5	-0.17	9	78%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	11	45%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.12	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.04	3	-0.08	16	81%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	13	41%	-0.09	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	25.6	15.6	29.8	1.7	36.5	136.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +67.0%

SAC +0.6%

MIN -22.3%

SAC +4.5%

SAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.6	83.2	92.7	102.5
season	14.8	15.2		105.3	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.4	14.6	16.9	14.9	15.7
SAC	16.3	13.6	14.4	13.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	25	23	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-14	18	14.6	16.0	-1.48	12.8	15.1	-2.27
Sam Mitchell	44	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-11	12	15.5	15.7	-0.20	14.1	14.8	-0.71
Tom Hammonds	12	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	9.9	16.5	-6.57	12.8	14.8	-1.92
Cherokee Parks	25	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-9	8	17.2	15.1	2.10	15.6	14.2	1.43
Micheal Williams	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-9	8	16.7	15.4	1.32	16.1	14.1	1.99
Chris Carr	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-2	-6	16.1	15.3	0.82	15.6	13.5	2.07
Stanley Roberts	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-5	0	16.2	14.8	1.33	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Doug West	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	15.8	15.6	0.15	14.7	14.4	0.28
Tom Gugliotta	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	15.7	15.3	0.38	14.8	13.3	1.56
Stephon Marbury	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	15.4	16.7	-1.32	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Kevin Garnett	68	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.20	-16	6	-22	15.7	15.5	0.19	14.2	15.3	-1.14

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Salvadori	15	15	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	0	10	13.9	14.6	-0.76	18.4	15.1	3.26
Anthony Johnson	73	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-6	22	14.4	15.0	-0.59	16.5	12.9	3.57
Billy Owens	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	6	-2	14.9	13.9	1.06	16.5	14.3	2.26
Mitch Richmond	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-3	16	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.9	14.9	1.02
Corliss Williamson	77	77	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	2	6	14.3	15.3	-0.94	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	31	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	7	-4	14.8	14.4	0.48	15.8	15.6	0.20
Michael Stewart	66	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	2	6	14.6	14.3	0.31	15.7	15.4	0.34
Terry Dehere	39	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	16	-22	14.4	14.6	-0.17	13.8	16.8	-3.06
Olden Polynice	35	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	10	-10	14.5	14.5	-0.08	13.9	16.6	-2.63
Bobby Hurley	13	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	16	-22	15.8	14.3	1.46	11.4	16.2	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 88, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.73,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,1	93.9%
MIN 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%