NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	6.5 [501]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +20.8%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	2.3 [383]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -17.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.04	-0.07	13	57%	0.23	1	-0.02	14	93%	0.08
Samuel Dalembert	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	7	90%	0.22	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Royal Ivey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	13	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	14	29%	-0.07	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	13	64%	0.10	10	-0.28	7	71%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	4	82%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	15	49%	0.15	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	16	54%	0.13	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.04
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.12	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	32.1	17.4	26.5	2.6	35.0	139.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +59.0%

PHI -7.9%

PHI -17.0%

TOR +15.1%

TOR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.5	109.5	116.8	106.4
season	15.5	15.1		105.3	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		108.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.0	14.7	17.5	13.6	15.9
TOR	13.3	14.1	15.2	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	8	8	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-14	21	13.6	16.1	-2.46	15.1	14.4	0.75
Theo Ratliff	37	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-5	3	14.5	16.8	-2.32	13.3	15.1	-1.88
Samuel Dalembert	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-8	9	17.1	14.4	2.66	15.6	12.9	2.71
Reggie Evans	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	0	-7	18.2	14.5	3.73	14.6	14.4	0.20
Royal Ivey	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-6	5	15.6	16.0	-0.35	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Andre Miller	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	16.0	15.6	0.35	14.8	13.7	1.13
Lou Williams	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	14.1	19.4	-5.33	13.9	15.6	-1.69
Marreese Speights	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-7	7	14.5	18.2	-3.73	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Willie Green	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	6	-19	18.6	14.1	4.51	14.8	14.2	0.60
Andre Iguodala	87	87	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	7	-21	16.1	13.6	2.46	14.4	15.1	-0.75

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	76	76	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.19	20	-13	33	14.2	15.2	-0.96	16.4	13.6	2.87
Shawn Marion	82	82	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.18	20	-13	33	14.3	15.1	-0.74	16.3	13.0	3.33
Patrick O'Bryant	37	37	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	13.2	15.2	-1.96	14.9	16.5	-1.52
Quincy Douby	24	23	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	2	3	13.5	14.8	-1.32	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Jose Calderon	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-2	11	14.9	13.6	1.24	15.7	16.2	-0.57
Joey Graham	36	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	9	-11	13.9	14.8	-0.94	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	8	7	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	0	7	10.2	14.8	-4.58	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Chris Bosh	62	62	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	14.8	13.7	1.10	16.7	14.2	2.50
Andrea Bargnani	60	63	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	18	-29	15.8	12.1	3.78	16.0	15.6	0.42
Jason Kapono	16	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	15	-23	14.4	14.5	-0.08	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Roko Leni Ukic	13	13	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	19	-31	15.4	14.3	1.09	15.2	16.0	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,1,1	94.1%
LAL 80, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
IND 99, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.9,0.91,0.96,1	93.5%