NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	6.3 [568]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +45.6%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.8 [1077]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -9.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	11	69%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Brandon Rush	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	15	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	19	56%	0.14	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	12	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.24	0.20	-0.01	16	88%	0.49	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.00	7	67%	0.15	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	12	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	7	21%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	29.4	15.4	26.4	2.4	35.6	137.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.3%

IND -1.2%

BOS +1.1%

IND -10.6%

BOS +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.5	107.6	114.3	106.4
season	14.1	15.8		106.5	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		101.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	15.1	14.6	15.0	14.8
BOS	16.8	17.0	16.0	16.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-9	13	13.3	15.4	-2.05	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Marquis Daniels	73	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-13	21	14.3	16.9	-2.62	17.2	14.8	2.38
Jeff Foster	61	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.45	11	-16	27	15.2	14.0	1.28	16.9	16.3	0.60
Rasho Nesterovic	27	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	0	-5	15.0	14.7	0.26	15.5	17.1	-1.59
Roy Hibbert	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	7	-19	13.5	15.3	-1.83	17.3	16.4	0.95
Brandon Rush	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-10	15	15.2	14.2	0.94	16.1	17.8	-1.67
Troy Murphy	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	14.8	14.8	-0.01	16.9	16.0	0.90
T.J. Ford	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	4	-13	15.4	13.3	2.05	17.1	15.4	1.70
Jarrett Jack	53	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.05	-24	19	-43	15.2	14.2	1.01	16.3	17.1	-0.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	81	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-9	23	17.0	14.2	2.78	14.8	14.6	0.20
Paul Pierce	75	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	16.4	18.0	-1.61	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Leon Powe	49	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-2	9	15.8	17.7	-1.89	15.8	13.5	2.31
Glen Davis	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-4	13	17.7	15.6	2.13	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Rajon Rondo	62	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-3	11	16.9	16.2	0.73	15.2	14.0	1.17
Kendrick Perkins	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	3	-1	16.9	16.3	0.59	14.7	15.0	-0.37
Eddie House	32	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	10	-15	16.5	16.8	-0.26	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Stephon Marbury	25	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	12	-19	15.5	17.1	-1.59	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Mikki Moore	32	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	14	-23	16.6	16.7	-0.12	14.9	14.8	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.9,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 119, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	94.1%
CHI 72, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%