NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	6.0 [629]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (MIL): +14.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.8 [414]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): -16.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.02	0.05	13	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	18	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Francisco Elson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	12	31%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	10	59%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	13	69%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	13	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	12	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	26.4	15.7	28.3	3.5	41.3	140.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +57.1%

MIL -9.0%

LAC +16.1%

MIL -17.7%

LAC +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	17.2	15.5	103.4	111.0	106.4
season	15.0	15.7		104.9	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	16.7	14.2	13.4	14.7
LAC	16.5	17.6	17.9	17.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	24	25	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-15	21	16.0	14.3	1.68	17.4	17.2	0.22
Joe Alexander	18	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-10	11	13.6	15.0	-1.40	16.8	17.4	-0.57
Charlie Bell	30	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-11	13	13.5	15.3	-1.81	17.2	17.2	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-2	-5	14.7	14.7	0.04	17.4	17.1	0.28
Ramon Sessions	32	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-8	7	15.7	14.2	1.45	16.7	17.6	-0.86
Luc Mbah a Moute	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-9	9	15.1	14.3	0.83	17.9	16.6	1.26
Luke Ridnour	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	0	-9	14.2	15.7	-1.45	17.6	16.7	0.86
Michael Redd	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	2	-13	14.7	14.7	0.02	17.2	17.2	0.02
Richard Jefferson	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	1	-11	15.0	13.6	1.40	17.4	16.8	0.57
Charlie Villanueva	55	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	7	-23	14.5	15.1	-0.63	16.5	18.4	-1.84

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	78	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-6	21	17.0	18.6	-1.60	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Marcus Camby	60	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-5	19	16.9	18.0	-1.10	14.9	14.3	0.63
Al Thornton	76	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-3	15	17.1	18.1	-0.99	14.5	16.0	-1.53
Brian Skinner	63	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-1	11	17.1	17.6	-0.48	14.5	15.2	-0.65
Ricky Davis	37	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	8	-7	18.0	16.7	1.32	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Eric Gordon	79	78	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	3	3	17.1	18.5	-1.45	14.3	17.5	-3.11
Steve Novak	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	7	-5	18.7	16.7	2.04	16.6	14.0	2.60
Fred Jones	18	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	17	-25	16.3	17.5	-1.20	14.3	14.8	-0.50
DeAndre Jordan	19	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	16	-23	18.7	16.8	1.89	15.7	14.5	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 78, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.2%
PHI 104, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,1	94.1%
MIN 97, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.0%