NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	4.7 [849]		MVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): +18.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	80		Comeback	1.2 [531]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): -20.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vasilije Micic	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.00	6	92%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.03	0.08	11	72%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Cody Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tre Mann	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JT Thor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	18	49%	0.09	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	18	47%	0.05	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	16	72%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ashton Hagans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	18	39%	-0.06	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	27%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	21	23%	-0.16	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	21.6	14.6	27.2	2.0	24.3	116.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +77.7%

CHA +0.9%

POR -18.7%

POR -12.5%

CHA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	POR	NBA	CHA	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.5	95.9	82.5	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		108.3	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		116.2	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.7	12.7	15.9	16.0	14.6
POR	17.6	16.1	13.5	13.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	80	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	3	7	14.2	16.4	-2.21	15.2	14.6	0.55
Bryce McGowens	42	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-4	21	13.8	15.2	-1.37	15.7	14.7	1.00
Cody Martin	65	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	3	7	14.1	15.6	-1.50	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Grant Williams	47	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	6	1	14.8	14.4	0.47	15.5	14.8	0.67
Brandon Miller	80	79	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	6	1	15.1	12.2	2.85	14.8	16.6	-1.85
Nick Richards	67	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	4	5	14.9	13.9	0.95	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Tre Mann	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	5	3	13.6	15.6	-1.96	15.8	14.3	1.44
Vasilije Micic	48	47	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	17	-21	15.8	13.4	2.34	14.9	15.3	-0.37
JT Thor	6	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	12	-11	17.2	14.4	2.75	15.7	15.1	0.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Minaya	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-21	29	12.4	15.2	-2.85	18.0	14.4	3.64
Ashton Hagans	20	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-21	29	14.4	15.3	-0.82	16.9	13.9	2.94
Dalano Banton	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-16	19	16.1	14.9	1.13	16.4	14.3	2.14
Toumani Camara	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-7	1	15.7	14.7	1.06	12.6	15.9	-3.30
Duop Reath	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-4	-5	15.5	15.0	0.55	15.3	14.4	0.94
Deandre Ayton	80	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	14.7	17.0	-2.30	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Jabari Walker	36	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	15.3	15.0	0.32	16.2	13.7	2.52
Jerami Grant	64	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	0	-13	15.2	15.0	0.20	14.8	14.3	0.47
Matisse Thybulle	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	0	-13	14.6	16.0	-1.34	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Kris Murray	65	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	15.5	14.3	1.18	14.3	15.3	-1.08
Anfernee Simons	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	8	-29	15.1	15.0	0.19	13.9	16.7	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.22,0.1,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 94, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.6%
BOS 86, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
ATL 101, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.3%