NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	4.9 [811]		MVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): +15.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	78		Comeback	1.3 [510]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (LAC): -18.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	10	73%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Stewart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	15	62%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Craig Ehlo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	18	54%	0.07	6	-0.12	10	70%	-0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Duckworth	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	14	34%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	16	46%	-0.06	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.20	-0.02	-0.03	9	23%	-0.11	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.2	10.7	32.9	0.2	25.7	124.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.3%

SEA +1.1%

LAC -7.9%

SEA +13.3%

SEA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.6	104.4	84.8	104.4
season	14.9	15.8		108.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.2		105.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.4	15.1	16.5	19.6	16.0
LAC	16.1	16.9	14.2	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Ehlo	40	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	2	12	17.4	14.8	2.56	16.9	14.7	2.13
Gary Payton	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	2	12	15.5	17.7	-2.20	15.8	15.3	0.43
Detlef Schrempf	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	8	0	16.1	15.7	0.46	15.1	17.0	-1.82
Hersey Hawkins	64	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	5	6	16.6	14.5	2.02	15.1	17.1	-1.96
Eric Snow	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	10	-4	16.7	15.4	1.34	16.6	14.9	1.74
Sam Perkins	36	36	0.26	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	12	-8	17.4	15.1	2.31	16.5	15.2	1.31
Shawn Kemp	66	68	0.25	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	4	8	15.3	17.7	-2.36	16.1	14.6	1.48
Jim McIlvaine	46	47	0.20	0.29	-0.09	-0.00	7	9	-2	14.3	17.7	-3.33	15.3	16.1	-0.81
David Wingate	9	11	0.05	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	13	-10	12.7	16.3	-3.68	11.9	16.2	-4.28
Larry Stewart	15	15	0.03	0.46	-0.43	0.00	1	15	-14	15.9	16.0	-0.05	14.4	15.9	-1.52

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	3	2	0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.00	0	-16	16	8.7	15.9	-7.24	11.5	16.1	-4.58
Kevin Duckworth	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-12	8	16.2	15.6	0.61	14.4	16.4	-1.92
Darrick Martin	33	31	-0.07	-0.42	0.34	-0.07	0	-16	16	14.8	16.2	-1.38	18.9	14.4	4.51
Terry Dehere	20	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-13	10	15.0	15.9	-0.86	13.4	16.6	-3.24
Stanley Roberts	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-9	2	17.4	15.2	2.20	14.6	16.4	-1.77
Lamond Murray	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-8	0	15.8	15.6	0.15	16.6	15.4	1.21
Eric Piatkowski	27	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-4	-8	14.9	16.0	-1.06	16.7	15.7	0.95
Malik Sealy	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-12	8	16.0	14.9	1.06	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Rodney Rogers	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-8	0	15.6	15.8	-0.15	15.4	16.6	-1.21
Pooh Richardson	42	43	-0.30	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	-3	-10	16.2	15.2	0.95	14.7	17.1	-2.41
Bo Outlaw	67	66	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-9	2	15.7	15.5	0.27	16.9	13.5	3.32
Loy Vaught	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-2	-12	15.6	15.9	-0.34	16.2	15.2	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 84, NJN 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
NYK 92, DAL 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.2%
CHI 101, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.0%