NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	4.1 [1006]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NYK): +7.2%
Dallas Mavericks	80		Comeback	1.4 [333]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -10.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	87%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	52%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	77%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Toure Murry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	12	54%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.05	5	75%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	13	41%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.03
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	85%	0.07	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Bernard James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gal Mekel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	13	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	31.5	16.5	23.1	2.6	33.3	133.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.9%

NYK +9.7%

NYK +11.6%

DAL -7.0%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.1	102.2	88.9	105.2
season	16.0	15.3		106.4	109.0
opponent	15.0	15.4		107.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	17.8	19.4	18.0	17.1
DAL	13.9	14.9	16.6	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	55	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-3	18	16.0	18.7	-2.71	16.5	12.7	3.76
J.R. Smith	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	17.9	15.5	2.43	15.0	14.9	0.05
Carmelo Anthony	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	0	12	17.3	16.3	1.04	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Beno Udrih	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	3	6	17.6	15.9	1.71	14.9	15.1	-0.29
Iman Shumpert	58	58	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	3	6	16.5	18.1	-1.56	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Amar'e Stoudemire	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.22	1	11	-10	18.3	16.1	2.16	15.4	14.6	0.82
Andrea Bargnani	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	5	2	16.8	17.4	-0.66	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Toure Murry	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	12	-12	16.9	17.1	-0.24	15.2	14.8	0.34
Tim Hardaway Jr.	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	12	-12	16.3	17.3	-1.04	15.7	14.7	1.04
Cole Aldrich	1	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	12	-12	20.0	17.0	2.98	9.7	15.1	-5.46
Jeremy Tyler	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	20.0	17.0	2.98	14.0	15.0	-0.97
Tyson Chandler	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	16	-20	14.5	17.4	-2.96	11.8	15.3	-3.54

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard James	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	14.0	15.0	-0.97	20.0	17.0	2.98
Gal Mekel	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-9	6	15.2	14.9	0.34	15.0	17.3	-2.26
Wayne Ellington	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-8	4	15.1	14.9	0.20	16.6	17.1	-0.52
Shane Larkin	16	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-8	4	14.2	15.1	-0.92	16.8	17.1	-0.24
Brandan Wright	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-9	6	14.8	15.1	-0.27	18.2	16.2	1.94
Shawn Marion	57	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-14	16	14.9	15.0	-0.09	18.4	14.8	3.63
Jae Crowder	24	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	14.6	15.1	-0.44	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Vince Carter	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.3	14.5	0.83	16.7	17.5	-0.83
Jose Calderon	65	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-7	2	15.0	14.9	0.03	17.5	15.6	1.88
Dirk Nowitzki	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	14.6	15.8	-1.16	16.1	19.7	-3.56
DeJuan Blair	50	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	15.1	14.7	0.35	16.1	18.2	-2.06
Monta Ellis	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	15.2	14.0	1.21	17.3	15.9	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 86, MIA 70	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHH 112, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%