NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	84		Excitement	4.3 [744]		MVP	James Harden (OKC): +5.4%
New Jersey Nets	74		Comeback	1.1 [931]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -12.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	6	36%	-0.00	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	21	46%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	22	40%	0.01	5	-0.08	6	33%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Owens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.06	6	53%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	13	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	17	38%	-0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	17	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	18	35%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.7	30.0	14.8	27.2	1.4	32.3	130.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +42.8%

NJN -4.4%

OKC +2.3%

OKC +8.8%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NJN	NBA	OKC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	15.6	89.4	79.6	102.8
season	14.7	16.2		107.9	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.8		107.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	15.1	15.9	14.4	14.7
NJN	15.7	17.6	17.6	13.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	89	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-2	14	14.5	18.6	-4.11	15.7	21.2	-5.42
Russell Westbrook	70	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	2	6	15.1	13.5	1.63	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Thabo Sefolosha	66	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	3	4	15.3	13.2	2.13	15.3	17.9	-2.61
Nick Collison	35	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	0	10	13.3	15.6	-2.27	16.6	15.7	0.87
Serge Ibaka	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	4	2	15.5	13.7	1.80	17.2	14.7	2.44
James Harden	55	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	7	-4	13.9	15.9	-2.07	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Kendrick Perkins	59	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	10	-10	15.6	13.3	2.27	15.7	16.6	-0.87
Reggie Jackson	24	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	13.5	15.1	-1.63	17.0	15.8	1.18
Daequan Cook	10	11	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	7	-4	15.8	14.6	1.22	17.9	15.9	2.06
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	11	-12	11.9	15.0	-3.15	18.4	15.8	2.58

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Owens	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	7.7	16.4	-8.71	16.0	14.7	1.33
Johan Petro	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-14	18	13.4	16.7	-3.29	16.4	14.4	2.08
Sundiata Gaines	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-11	12	13.5	16.3	-2.78	13.2	14.8	-1.65
DeShawn Stevenson	59	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	16.3	15.7	0.57	15.6	13.2	2.41
Jordan Farmar	39	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	14.6	17.2	-2.55	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Shelden Williams	21	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-2	-6	16.8	15.9	0.86	12.1	15.4	-3.32
Kris Humphries	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-8	6	16.6	12.7	3.94	15.5	9.8	5.74
Deron Williams	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-5	0	16.6	14.3	2.30	15.6	11.5	4.08
Anthony Morrow	50	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	15.9	16.3	-0.47	13.5	16.1	-2.59
Mehmet Okur	50	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.16	-20	10	-30	17.0	15.0	2.04	13.9	15.7	-1.72
MarShon Brooks	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	5	-20	16.2	16.0	0.19	14.5	15.2	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 109, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MEM 119, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%