NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	4.0 [988]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (PHI): +7.0%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.1 [1057]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (NJN): -10.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	71%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.00	2	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	14	55%	0.00	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	14	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	23	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	257.2	2.7	29.6	15.4	26.2	2.0	24.0	357.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.6%

PHI +4.1%

PHI +15.9%

NJN -6.8%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.5	113.0	95.6	100.9
season	15.7	15.5		101.4	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	13.4	16.0	19.4	15.7
NJN	14.1	17.3	16.8	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	72	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.20	23	-6	29	16.1	14.3	1.76	16.1	14.3	1.76
Allen Iverson	79	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	-4	25	15.2	19.1	-3.90	16.3	12.2	4.10
Aaron McKie	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	2	13	16.0	14.7	1.25	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Tyrone Hill	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	1	15	16.8	13.1	3.76	16.4	14.1	2.28
George Lynch	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	8	1	15.5	16.0	-0.51	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Toni Kukoc	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	4	9	14.9	16.5	-1.59	15.9	15.6	0.37
Kevin Ollie	30	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	14	-11	16.2	15.5	0.65	15.1	16.0	-0.98
Rodney Buford	18	17	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	20	-23	14.6	16.0	-1.39	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Jumaine Jones	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	14.1	16.0	-1.92	13.2	16.1	-2.88
Todd MacCulloch	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	15.8	15.7	0.11	11.4	16.0	-4.60
Nazr Mohammed	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	15.8	15.7	0.08	7.2	16.1	-8.89

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	11.4	16.0	-4.60	15.8	15.7	0.11
Aaron Williams	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-9	1	15.9	15.5	0.48	17.5	13.3	4.20
Vladimir Stepania	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-9	1	16.8	15.6	1.22	11.7	16.3	-4.67
Stephen Jackson	46	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-12	7	15.4	16.1	-0.68	16.1	15.3	0.83
Lucious Harris	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-7	-3	16.6	15.3	1.22	13.1	17.0	-3.90
Stephon Marbury	77	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-9	1	15.1	19.1	-3.93	16.2	13.4	2.78
Sherman Douglas	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-4	-9	17.0	14.6	2.34	16.2	15.3	0.87
Johnny Newman	38	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-5	-7	15.9	15.6	0.25	14.6	16.5	-1.81
Keith Van Horn	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	-8	-1	15.2	17.8	-2.58	15.9	15.0	0.92
Kenyon Martin	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-3	-11	16.0	14.5	1.50	15.5	16.8	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 84, NJN 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
DET 124, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MEM 119, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%