NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	4.4 [737]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +13.1%
Indiana Pacers	72		Comeback	1.2 [515]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -12.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	16	63%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	15	45%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	18	51%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	80%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	15	56%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	67%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	9	37%	-0.05	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	12%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	1.0	31.0	16.4	27.4	2.5	28.4	127.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.0%

BOS +0.5%

BOS +5.2%

BOS +4.1%

BOS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.6	95.6	79.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.7		99.4	104.2
opponent	15.6	16.2		101.1	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	16.0	16.6	17.2	15.9
IND	15.9	16.0	16.1	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	63	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.05	21	-7	28	16.1	15.6	0.50	16.3	14.9	1.41
Avery Bradley	55	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-4	22	16.7	14.7	2.06	16.2	15.4	0.78
Sasha Pavlovic	27	28	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	-1	16	16.3	15.8	0.56	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Ray Allen	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	5	4	16.0	15.9	0.13	15.2	17.4	-2.24
Greg Stiemsma	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	7	0	16.2	15.6	0.54	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Paul Pierce	62	62	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	13	-12	15.8	16.2	-0.39	16.1	15.4	0.73
Rajon Rondo	67	68	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	14	-14	15.4	17.7	-2.29	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Brandon Bass	63	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	15	-16	15.4	17.1	-1.67	16.6	14.4	2.20

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-12	10	15.7	16.3	-0.62	15.4	17.5	-2.06
Lou Amundson	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-10	6	14.6	16.3	-1.76	16.8	15.6	1.18
Roy Hibbert	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	16.8	14.5	2.31	15.1	17.4	-2.24
Leandro Barbosa	31	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-9	4	15.7	16.0	-0.31	16.2	15.8	0.47
George Hill	38	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-7	0	14.3	17.0	-2.73	16.2	15.8	0.37
Paul George	55	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	16.0	15.7	0.26	16.0	15.8	0.23
Darren Collison	62	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	16.3	15.1	1.19	15.7	16.4	-0.63
David West	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	16.3	14.8	1.53	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Tyler Hansbrough	36	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-2	-10	15.6	16.1	-0.54	16.7	15.5	1.17
Dahntay Jones	24	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-2	-10	16.3	15.7	0.62	17.5	15.4	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 112, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0	95.0%
UTA 86, LAL 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.8%