inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 112 Excitement4.8 [887] MVPDeron Williams (UTA): +18.7%
Utah Jazz 105 Comeback1.1 [939] LVPMehmet Okur (UTA): -7.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.160.130.04-0.001567%0.222-0.05989%0.04
Gary Neal0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.02-0.01576%0.1400.00786%0.02
Richard Jefferson0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.040.011258%0.081-0.0100%0.00
George Hill0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.070.070.010.01667%0.0700.003100%0.01
Tony Parker0.040,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.021568%0.155-0.114100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.00847%0.061-0.02333%-0.03
Tim Duncan0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0-0.050.01-0.041345%0.043-0.04333%-0.02
DeJuan Blair-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.190.190.180.030.022470%0.274-0.08887%0.01
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.090.090.070.030.01876%0.132-0.041100%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.12-0.000.041567%0.101-0.02367%-0.01
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.03478%0.0400.001100%0.00
Ronnie Price00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01757%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.02648%-0.011-0.02967%-0.02
Raja Bell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00217%-0.041-0.02250%-0.02
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00425%-0.051-0.02475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.02.830.018.429.52.738.2152.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.0%
SAS +4.1%
SAS +11.9%
SAS +3.5%
SAS +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASUTANBASASUTANBA
this game16.513.815.5119.1109.4105.7
season15.515.9109.3106.4
opponent15.315.2108.2103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.316.817.316.916.5
UTA13.515.214.811.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Hill60630.440.060.390.2470716.217.1-0.9613.813.80.08
Tony Parker74730.390.110.270.2452317.214.13.0313.415.1-1.68
Manu Ginobili71720.370.130.230.2834-116.317.3-0.9713.514.8-1.36
Richard Jefferson66680.330.170.160.2143116.716.10.6013.514.5-0.97
Tim Duncan59580.320.180.140.2916-518.114.04.0813.514.3-0.83
Antonio McDyess44450.290.210.080.0970715.217.7-2.4514.213.50.77
DeJuan Blair45440.190.31-0.120.0452317.515.71.7913.913.70.18
Gary Neal37400.090.41-0.320.12-18-915.617.1-1.4615.212.82.34
Tiago Splitter14170.080.42-0.34-0.0443112.017.3-5.3314.613.60.94

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Evans17170.11-0.610.73-0.2713-203313.213.9-0.7717.316.40.93
Gordon Hayward210.03-0.530.56-0.032-91111.013.9-2.8712.016.6-4.58
Ronnie Price34-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-4117.013.73.2912.016.7-4.73
Paul Millsap3636-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-91113.813.8-0.0617.815.72.11
Francisco Elson1513-0.11-0.390.280.06-6-1-515.113.61.4912.017.3-5.26
Mehmet Okur2930-0.20-0.300.09-0.11-3-4114.513.51.0114.317.6-3.23
Earl Watson3030-0.23-0.270.05-0.20-1-6514.513.51.0517.016.30.69
CJ Miles5653-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.20-3-4113.713.9-0.1915.318.2-2.91
Raja Bell6565-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.26-2-5313.913.60.2917.414.62.86
Deron Williams8381-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.21-6-1-513.416.7-3.3316.814.81.96
Al Jefferson6967-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.14-92-1113.414.8-1.3417.414.42.93
Andrei Kirilenko7573-0.610.11-0.72-0.05-1912-3113.913.40.5516.616.30.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 101, TOR 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.01,095.6%
MIA 96, ATL 740.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
IND 107, MIN 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,095.1%