NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	4.6 [877]		MVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): +10.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	1.2 [325]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -14.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	17	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	19	50%	0.06	6	-0.09	2	50%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	16	53%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.03	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.02	15	44%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	29.2	14.8	24.2	1.6	34.0	128.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.1%

CLE -3.2%

CLE -2.8%

ATL +17.3%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.5	108.6	95.7	100.9
season	15.4	15.3		96.0	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	14.6	18.7	17.9	16.3
CLE	14.7	17.3	14.9	11.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-7	25	15.8	17.9	-2.10	15.0	12.9	2.10
Chris Crawford	24	23	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-6	23	13.5	17.3	-3.80	17.4	13.6	3.79
Roshown McLeod	60	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	3	5	17.0	15.0	1.94	13.2	17.4	-4.16
Jason Terry	72	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	15.8	18.0	-2.16	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Alan Henderson	54	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	11	-11	17.6	14.4	3.18	13.3	16.3	-2.95
Dion Glover	18	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	6	-1	14.7	16.7	-2.00	15.8	14.2	1.58
DerMarr Johnson	77	77	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	15	-19	16.3	16.0	0.34	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Tony Smith	31	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	9	-7	17.8	15.5	2.29	14.6	14.5	0.16
Hanno Mottola	4	5	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	5	1	15.0	16.3	-1.34	21.6	14.1	7.47
Lorenzen Wright	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	14	-17	16.9	15.6	1.26	14.3	14.8	-0.56
Cal Bowdler	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	11	-11	10.5	16.5	-6.04	19.0	14.3	4.67

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.27	10	-21	31	13.0	15.2	-2.23	18.5	15.3	3.23
Etdrick Bohannon	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-15	19	14.3	14.6	-0.23	24.0	15.1	8.86
Trajan Langdon	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-6	1	14.7	14.5	0.26	12.9	17.0	-4.11
Bimbo Coles	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-16	21	15.6	13.7	1.91	18.3	14.7	3.60
Chris Gatling	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-5	-1	16.2	14.1	2.12	15.9	16.4	-0.42
Andre Miller	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	1	-13	13.3	16.9	-3.62	15.8	17.2	-1.35
Robert Traylor	70	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	14.8	13.7	1.11	15.7	18.0	-2.30
Clar. Weatherspoon	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	15.2	12.5	2.67	16.0	17.3	-1.36
Lamond Murray	82	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	2	-15	14.5	14.8	-0.35	15.5	21.3	-5.80
Jim Jackson	70	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.05	-18	7	-25	14.2	15.4	-1.19	15.9	17.2	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 118, ORL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NYK 86, PHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.2%
SAS 92, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0	95.0%