NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	118		Excitement	4.6 [878]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +15.0%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	1.2 [847]		LVP	Christian Laettner (DET): -14.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	12	83%	0.18	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	30	63%	0.18	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Mills	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	21	39%	-0.05	2	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03
Christian Laettner	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	12	19%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	9	74%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	80%	0.07	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	18	59%	0.07	8	-0.16	8	62%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	5	27%	-0.03	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	25.4	16.4	27.2	2.4	35.7	137.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +8.8%

ORL -1.6%

DET +13.1%

DET +30.8%

ORL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	12.2	15.2	112.4	101.9	101.7
season	14.1	13.6		104.2	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		99.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.3	16.1	15.4	16.8	15.3
ORL	11.5	11.6	14.0	12.0	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	96	96	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-2	16	15.5	12.9	2.65	12.0	14.5	-2.46
Lindsey Hunter	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	2	8	15.2	15.7	-0.57	12.0	12.9	-0.91
Christian Laettner	84	85	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	7	-2	15.9	13.0	2.95	12.4	11.6	0.80
Jerry Stackhouse	78	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	3	6	15.3	15.4	-0.18	12.1	12.7	-0.62
Terry Mills	41	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	0	12	14.2	16.0	-1.88	13.6	11.3	2.29
Michael Curry	51	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	9	-6	15.4	15.2	0.23	12.7	11.8	0.88
Jerome Williams	50	48	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	12	-12	15.5	15.1	0.39	10.9	13.3	-2.40
John Crotty	34	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	7	-2	14.4	15.7	-1.29	12.5	12.1	0.39
Jud Buechler	15	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	10	-8	15.6	15.3	0.33	12.9	12.1	0.81

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	11.0	12.3	-1.25	3.5	15.5	-12.04
Michael Doleac	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-10	8	13.6	12.0	1.63	14.9	15.4	-0.45
Corey Maggette	74	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-18	24	11.8	13.2	-1.36	15.8	14.2	1.59
Bo Outlaw	58	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-20	28	12.1	12.4	-0.29	16.6	13.8	2.76
Chris Gatling	67	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-13	14	11.1	14.2	-3.04	16.1	13.9	2.24
Chucky Atkins	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-14	16	12.2	12.3	-0.05	15.6	14.9	0.72
Pat Garrity	53	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-12	12	11.1	13.4	-2.24	15.9	14.7	1.14
John Amaechi	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-1	-10	14.5	11.6	2.94	13.2	15.9	-2.69
Monty Williams	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	1	-14	12.4	12.1	0.30	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Ben Wallace	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	1	-14	12.6	12.0	0.67	14.9	15.6	-0.76
Darrell Armstrong	49	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.23	-19	7	-26	12.2	12.2	0.03	14.6	16.0	-1.34
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	40	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	9	-30	14.1	11.1	3.00	13.8	16.2	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
ATL 101, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.6%
BOS 103, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%