NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	3.0 [954]		MVP	Randy Foye (LAC): +7.9%
Dallas Mavericks	75		Comeback	1.1 [408]		LVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): -9.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.18	0.00	0.10	19	74%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Nick Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05
Reggie Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Thompkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	12	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	14	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	26.3	12.7	26.4	2.3	25.6	120.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +45.7%

DAL -4.2%

LAC +3.4%

LAC +5.4%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.3	15.6	106.8	85.2	102.8
season	16.2	15.5		106.0	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	16.3	16.8	21.8	17.4
DAL	16.5	15.6	13.8	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	65	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	1	17	16.7	19.5	-2.77	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Chris Paul	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	4	11	17.3	17.8	-0.51	15.5	14.9	0.53
Caron Butler	47	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	3	13	16.3	18.7	-2.39	16.5	13.9	2.61
DeAndre Jordan	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	11	-3	17.2	17.7	-0.54	15.9	14.5	1.40
Randy Foye	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	10	-1	17.4	17.4	0.02	14.9	16.3	-1.43
Nick Young	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	12	-5	16.9	17.8	-0.87	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	10	-1	18.5	16.5	2.04	15.3	15.3	-0.08
Eric Bledsoe	31	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	14	-9	19.7	16.2	3.57	15.5	15.2	0.27
Bobby Simmons	23	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	14	-9	17.8	17.3	0.47	13.3	16.0	-2.70
Reggie Evans	14	15	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	16	-13	18.1	17.3	0.76	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Trey Thompkins	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	18.4	17.4	1.03	12.2	15.5	-3.28

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominique Jones	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	12.2	15.5	-3.28	18.4	17.4	1.03
Yi Jianlian	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	16.0	15.2	0.77	19.3	17.3	2.04
Brian Cardinal	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-18	17	12.5	16.2	-3.67	17.3	17.5	-0.21
Ian Mahinmi	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-14	9	13.3	15.9	-2.64	18.0	17.3	0.74
Brandan Wright	36	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-19	19	15.4	15.2	0.11	18.6	16.6	2.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-8	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.35	15.7	18.4	-2.69
Brendan Haywood	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-5	-9	16.6	14.6	1.98	15.7	18.4	-2.71
Jason Terry	58	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-10	1	15.0	15.9	-0.97	18.4	15.7	2.61
Shawn Marion	47	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-7	-5	16.1	14.4	1.65	16.6	18.4	-1.82
Vince Carter	53	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-6	-7	15.4	15.2	0.16	16.9	18.4	-1.54
Delonte West	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-7	-5	15.9	13.8	2.14	18.4	14.7	3.69
Dirk Nowitzki	64	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-3	-13	15.9	13.6	2.30	17.4	17.6	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 107, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAL 116, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%