NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	3.3 [1127]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): +11.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.0 [1124]		LVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): -10.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	9	76%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	5	94%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Luke Walton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.08	4	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	9	72%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	10	41%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	72%	0.03	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.05	12	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	58%	0.03	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	13	48%	-0.02	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	14	36%	-0.03	4	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	32.0	15.4	26.5	2.3	26.6	132.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.0%

LAL +5.1%

MIN -4.7%

LAL +17.1%

MIN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	15.4	118.4	96.9	105.7
season	14.6	15.9		110.6	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		109.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.6	12.3	15.2	15.1	13.7
MIN	15.6	15.4	16.9	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	5	11	13.2	14.5	-1.34	16.4	14.6	1.78
Chris Mihm	65	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	4	13	13.4	14.4	-0.95	16.0	14.8	1.24
Luke Walton	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	6	9	13.3	14.1	-0.73	16.6	14.8	1.76
Trevor Ariza	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	9	3	13.8	13.7	0.15	15.3	16.1	-0.78
Lamar Odom	73	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	12	-3	14.3	12.1	2.17	15.8	15.2	0.57
Derek Fisher	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	11	-1	14.7	13.2	1.52	17.5	14.6	2.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	54	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	11	-1	13.6	13.9	-0.22	14.5	17.0	-2.53
Jordan Farmar	43	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	11	-1	13.6	13.9	-0.31	15.0	16.1	-1.12
Javaris Crittenton	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	22	-23	13.1	14.0	-0.90	13.6	16.4	-2.77
Sasha Vujacic	33	34	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	14	-7	14.4	13.4	0.99	14.9	16.1	-1.18

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Richard	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	12.8	16.0	-3.19	17.0	13.3	3.68
Michael Doleac	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-18	15	16.8	15.5	1.38	14.0	13.7	0.30
Gerald Green	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-21	21	12.0	16.1	-4.07	12.2	13.9	-1.67
Corey Brewer	38	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-16	11	14.7	16.2	-1.54	13.5	13.9	-0.31
Mark Madsen	26	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-19	17	17.3	15.1	2.25	15.4	13.1	2.36
Rashad McCants	44	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-19	17	15.7	15.6	0.09	15.6	12.1	3.53
Antoine Walker	42	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-7	-7	15.0	16.2	-1.23	12.6	14.6	-1.98
Greg Buckner	42	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-3	-15	15.8	15.6	0.19	12.2	14.8	-2.51
Craig Smith	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-3	-15	15.3	16.3	-1.03	12.8	15.4	-2.55
Ryan Gomes	56	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-7	-7	16.7	14.3	2.35	14.3	13.0	1.28
Al Jefferson	62	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-7	-7	16.1	14.9	1.12	13.8	13.7	0.08
Sebastian Telfair	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	-2	-17	15.8	15.1	0.69	13.5	15.0	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
UTA 92, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
TOR 113, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%