NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	123		Excitement	8.6 [193]		MVP	Ochai Agbaji (TOR): +24.2%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	1.8 [257]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -18.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.00	6	117%	0.31	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.06	-0.02	13	69%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.09	-0.05	13	67%	0.25	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.01	9	56%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.08	0.07	0.01	9	63%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	14	42%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.06
Immanuel Quickley	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	20	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	13	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.00	16	61%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	18	60%	0.16	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	17	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	13	41%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	13	39%	-0.11	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	30.4	15.4	21.9	2.5	27.9	128.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +66.6%

ATL -2.1%

ATL -11.7%

ATL -4.7%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	13.8	14.5	121.8	119.8	113.9
season	14.0	14.2		111.3	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.7		118.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	11.9	15.2	15.2	16.7	14.7
ATL	14.3	13.0	14.8	13.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	69	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.53	-1	3	-4	14.7	14.7	-0.02	12.8	16.0	-3.21
Ochai Agbaji	35	37	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-11	24	14.5	14.7	-0.20	13.6	14.0	-0.30
Scottie Barnes	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-4	10	14.3	16.0	-1.75	13.9	13.7	0.13
Kelly Olynyk	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	4	-6	14.4	14.9	-0.49	12.8	14.9	-2.11
Immanuel Quickley	75	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	3	-4	15.2	13.2	2.05	14.1	13.2	0.90
Gary Trent Jr.	70	69	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.37	-9	11	-20	15.3	13.2	2.09	14.1	13.2	0.96
Gradey Dick	48	47	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.30	-7	9	-16	14.2	15.1	-0.81	13.1	14.5	-1.34
Jordan Nwora	29	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	-5	12	13.3	15.2	-1.91	16.2	12.9	3.31
Jakob Poeltl	52	52	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	-2	6	15.1	14.2	0.91	14.9	12.8	2.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-6	10	12.5	14.5	-2.01	13.2	15.3	-2.10
Bruno Fernando	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-1	0	13.0	14.1	-1.07	13.5	15.1	-1.59
Bogdan Bogdanovic	64	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-9	16	13.0	15.3	-2.34	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Clint Capela	39	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	2	-6	15.5	12.8	2.76	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Jalen Johnson	76	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.46	7	-9	16	13.8	14.0	-0.26	15.0	13.6	1.43
Dejounte Murray	72	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	1	-4	14.4	12.3	2.10	15.4	12.9	2.51
Saddiq Bey	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	4	-10	14.6	12.3	2.29	15.4	13.2	2.13
Trae Young	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	4	-10	13.6	14.5	-0.86	13.9	17.0	-3.05
De'Andre Hunter	53	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	6	-14	13.4	14.3	-0.86	15.7	13.6	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.07,0.04,0,0	93.0%
LAC 109, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0	92.8%
LAC 103, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.16,0	92.8%