NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	112		Excitement	6.8 [490]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +21.6%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	1.7 [1048]		LVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): -15.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.22	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	21	57%	0.23	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.04
Stephen Curry	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	24	57%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	9	59%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	6	83%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	18	60%	0.18	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.05
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.04	21	52%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	6	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.8	32.2	16.6	27.2	1.8	34.2	143.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.0%

NYK -0.4%

NYK -8.9%

GSW +23.7%

GSW +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	14.8	119.1	108.2	107.7
season	13.5	15.0		114.9	106.6
opponent	14.7	15.1		110.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	16.1	13.3	16.0	14.8
NYK	15.2	13.3	17.1	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	72	75	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.15	22	-15	37	14.2	16.8	-2.62	15.7	14.4	1.26
Patrick McCaw	31	34	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-6	19	13.4	15.4	-2.01	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Andre Iguodala	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	4	-1	14.5	15.3	-0.73	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Zaza Pachulia	33	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-7	21	15.0	14.6	0.36	17.0	14.4	2.57
Draymond Green	80	79	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	9	-11	14.7	15.0	-0.27	15.5	14.9	0.60
Klay Thompson	75	72	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	8	-9	14.4	16.1	-1.61	15.9	13.8	2.13
JaVale McGee	16	19	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-2	11	12.7	15.2	-2.50	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Matt Barnes	36	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	5	-3	15.1	14.6	0.47	15.0	15.6	-0.64
James Michael McAdoo	7	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	7	-7	14.1	14.8	-0.67	14.7	15.4	-0.76
Ian Clark	9	13	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	6	-5	17.8	14.4	3.33	12.8	15.8	-3.02
Shaun Livingston	26	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	18	-29	17.7	13.6	4.10	14.7	15.7	-0.99
David West	22	22	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.15	-15	22	-37	16.8	14.2	2.62	14.4	15.7	-1.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	21	20	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-15	23	14.8	15.5	-0.73	17.3	14.1	3.28
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-7	7	14.7	15.6	-0.85	18.3	13.8	4.53
Ron Baker	47	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-17	27	14.9	15.8	-0.91	15.0	14.5	0.50
Justin Holiday	30	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-7	7	15.5	15.3	0.17	16.3	14.1	2.20
Lance Thomas	56	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.3	0.11	15.0	14.5	0.55
Kristaps Porzingis	80	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-6	5	15.5	14.8	0.75	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Derrick Rose	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	1	-9	15.5	15.0	0.53	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Carmelo Anthony	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	2	-11	15.5	15.0	0.51	13.8	17.7	-3.82
Willy Hernangomez	29	27	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	10	-27	15.6	15.3	0.34	13.6	15.3	-1.70
Courtney Lee	58	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	8	-23	15.5	15.3	0.21	13.7	16.5	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.07,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.06,0.02,0,0	92.7%
LAC 103, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.16,0	92.2%
GSW 86, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.02,0	92.1%