NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	7.2 [371]		MVP	Tyrone Nesby (LAC): +25.9%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.8 [268]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -20.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.16	0.11	0.01	18	74%	0.31	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	15	69%	0.16	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	17	58%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Avent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Murdock	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	10	14%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	47%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	19	58%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Drew Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	12	38%	-0.05	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.2,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	14	35%	-0.18	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	25.4	17.7	25.3	1.6	40.2	136.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +45.5%

LAC +14.2%

GSW -11.7%

GSW -1.1%

LAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	14.1	15.2	107.3	105.3	101.7
season	15.6	14.7		95.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.3		105.8	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.2	17.2	15.0	14.7	16.2
GSW	14.5	13.3	14.4	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	59	58	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.23	14	-10	24	15.9	16.7	-0.83	14.6	13.2	1.47
Tyrone Nesby	89	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-3	10	16.1	17.1	-1.00	14.1	13.9	0.23
Eric Piatkowski	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-5	14	15.9	16.9	-0.98	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Eric Murdock	30	28	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	-1	6	17.0	15.9	1.09	14.4	13.9	0.45
Lamar Odom	85	83	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	16.2	16.5	-0.27	14.2	13.4	0.81
Keith Closs	42	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	10	-16	15.8	16.6	-0.77	13.3	14.6	-1.27
Troy Hudson	62	64	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	16.9	15.0	1.84	14.1	14.0	0.16
Charles R. Jones	44	43	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	11	-18	16.2	16.2	-0.07	13.6	14.5	-0.82
Anthony Avent	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	17.1	16.1	1.00	13.9	14.1	-0.23

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Farmer	13	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	13.1	14.2	-1.16	16.4	16.2	0.19
Tim Legler	25	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.17	3	-7	10	11.8	14.9	-3.10	14.4	16.9	-2.52
Chris Mills	73	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-8	12	13.8	14.9	-1.01	16.3	15.9	0.46
Adonal Foyle	23	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-2	0	14.6	13.9	0.65	17.8	15.6	2.13
Donyell Marshall	53	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	4	-12	14.3	13.8	0.48	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Vonteego Cummings	83	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-7	10	14.3	12.5	1.73	16.1	16.7	-0.58
Drew Barry	13	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	3	-10	11.8	14.4	-2.59	16.9	16.1	0.77
Antawn Jamison	50	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-4	4	13.4	14.8	-1.40	16.7	15.7	0.96
John Starks	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	1	-6	14.7	12.0	2.69	16.2	16.2	0.07
Jason Caffey	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	6	-16	15.0	11.9	3.16	15.8	17.0	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	92.5%
GSW 112, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.2%
VAN 85, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.03,0.07,0	92.1%